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Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford Preview and forecast

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Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford Preview and Prediction

Eric Bottjer

Time changes some things. Money change more. Three years after Terenka Crawford rejected the idea of ​​fighting Canelo Alvarez on 168 pounds, here we are. Fifty million dollars can make many people brave. But when the money seduced Crawford, his way of thinking hit: “I will find a way to win.”

There is no doubt that Crawford is still a dog, not a businessman. When the bell rings, he imagines hundreds of times, as Canelo overcomes. This is not the fight we demanded. Nevertheless, it is fascinating because of the talent of people. Both are great all time who could compete with any boxer in history. There is no doubt that Canelo could fight any middle or super-medium from any era. The question is: can Crawford occur at this level at this weight. This year’s “Fight of the Century” is located between two immense boxers separated – at least according to natural weight – by two weight classes.

Crawford is not the only boxing person who thinks he is winning. Shawn Porter, Brian Norman, Christa Martin, Mike Tyson, Amir Khan, Tim Bradley – everyone sets the building. Although none of these people are experts, they know their activities. They choose Crawford because it has the following advantages:

1. Boxing IQ. Crawford is cheerful to watch boxes. He takes his times, observes his opponents early, pays flaws and repetitive mistakes they made, and then, if the fight enters the middle rounds, makes his man pay. Repeatedly.

2. It can effectively fight Southpaw’s attitude. And, equally critical, he knows when to return Southpaw.

3. Has a low mileage. Crawford has never been beaten. He had little fights that pushed him close to his limit. He turns 38 in two weeks. But he is a juvenile man in the slow 1930s.

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5. He knows his team and knows him. Coach Brian “Bo-Mac” McIntyre is with Bud from the very beginning.

To say, these advantages are petite. Canelo also has amazing IQ boxing. Canelo dealt with the skillful Southpaws at a high level (Erislanda Lara, Austin Trout, Billy Joe Saunders); He has been a younger man here for three years; Canelo is also oldschool and all your fights in the ring. And, like Bud, he has an excellent trainer who was there with Fight 1.

There is one clear advantage: size. Canelo has fought in the last 14 years in 154 pounds or higher. Crawford just moved to the neighborhood of the weight of lightweight. One match with Israel Madrimov. And Bud fought. And now he missed the average weight to collect his huge check against the great all time, hoping that the mass herself does not dictate the winner.

This situation of the size difference between immense has a precedent, with mixed results. James “Smitty” Smith and Lee Grows and I touched it recently in our podcast and we all remembered Leonard-Hagler. Hagler has passed the best. Like Canelo. Crawford was suspected at Leonard level. This fight turned out to be equal.

There is also Hagler-Duran, which can be a more correct comparison. Hagler has not been shot here. Duran moved many weight classes and made Hagler uncomfortable.

One fight is not mentioned, but Bears’s considering is when the welterweight master Jose Naples rose to the middle weight to face Carlos Monzon. People forget that Naples was justified. He lost once every 8 years when he faced Monzon, and it was in the cut. The died Napole could not answer the bell in seventh place. It was a size, not talent.

That’s what our judgment and history tell us. And what about the numbers, knowing, of course, include fights that do not match the talent of their current opponent or the size of today’s fight. Buda throws more blows to the round, but this number is distorted by the statistics of Punch Canelo-William. Scull ran, Canelo followed and rarely threw. In their previous two fights, Canelo on average 42 blows per round. Crawford on average the same compared to Spence and Madrimov, but doubled this performance in relation to David Avenesan.

In the above fights, Canelo landed about 41 percent of his blows and hit about 23 percent of the opponent’s strokes. Surprisingly, Bud landed only with a 28 % clip, and his opponents reached it in 25 percent.

Forecasts: Canelo from the decision

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Boxing

Heavyweight Champion Calls for Fabio Wardleys Retirement After Dubois Loss Due to Concerns Over Damage

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"Heavyweight Champion Calls for Fabio Wardley’s Retirement After Dubois Loss Due to Concerns Over Damage"

Fabio Wardley has been advised to retire, due to both his second-round stoppage defeat to Daniel Dubois and the overall damage he has incurred in recent years.

The 31-year-old returned to action yesterday evening, attempting to reclaim his WBO title after suffering a punishing 11th-round stoppage defeat to Dubois in May.

Wardley did, of course, manage to score two early knockdowns but, for the rest of their contest, the momentum was firmly in his opponent’s favour.

Many therefore made Dubois a sizable favourite ahead of their rematch, which saw a role reversal as it was the 29-year-old, this time, who floored his man within the first 20 seconds.

Somehow, Wardley regained his footing but was placed under increasing pressure, with his corner throwing in the towel following a sustained onslaught from Dubois.

As a result, Dubois retained his world heavyweight title and is now eager to secure a unification match, while the immediate future for Wardley seems far less obvious.

Speaking to Boxing Newsthough, IBF champion Filip Hrgovic said the Ipswich man should leave the sport while, financially, he is in a position to do so.

“I think he should retire. He didn’t look good; he made [a] bunch of money … he did miracle – he became world champion without amateur career.

“He received a lot of damage in his last five [to] six fights, and he should retire and enjoy [his life].

“Daniel Dubois start normal, with the jab – he didn’t do anything special. Wardley just wasn’t in a [good] place from the beginning.”

Indeed, very few expected that Wardley, who had just four white collar fights before turning professional, would go on to become a world champion.

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Boxing

Terence Crawford Discusses Christian Mbillis Potential to Defeat Canelo Alvarez

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"Terence Crawford Discusses Christian Mbilli's Potential to Defeat Canelo Alvarez"

Terence Crawford has advised Christian Mbilli on what tactics to implement against Canelo Alvarezwith the two super-middleweights expected to collide on October 31.

Or at least, that seems to be the plan, with many surprised that the event is still going ahead in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, where the airport has been under attack in recent weeks.

A cancellation could therefore be on the cards but, if it does take place later this month, then Canelo will have the chance to reclaim his WBC title.

The Mexican lost his undisputed crown via a unanimous decision defeat to Crawfordwho moved up two weight divisions and produced a masterful performance in September 2025.

All four titles then became vacant following his retirement a few months later, with Mbilli getting upgraded from ‘interim’ to full WBC champion at 168lbs.

He too has not fought for over a year, as the Frenchman’s 10-round draw with Lester Martinez arrived on the Canelo-Crawford undercard.

But while both men are contending with a lack of activity, Canelo – based on his experience and superior skills – is widely considered to have the edge over Mbilli.

Speaking on the DAZN broadcast this weekend, Crawford agreed with the general consensus and, while not believing he can actually win the fight, has implored Mbilli to adopt a high-volume and rugged approach.

“Styles make fights, and his [Mbilli’s] style is tailor-made for Canelo. He can’t do nothing but press Canelo. I can’t see him beating Canelo in a boxing match.

“I think his best success will be letting his hands go, roughing Canelo up and making it a dog fight.”

It does, indeed, appear that Mbilli’s best option is to make it a battle of attrition, while Canelo may look to outbox his five-years-younger opponent.

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Derek Chisora Urges Moses Itauma to Battle KO Artist Heavyweight in Comeback

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"Derek Chisora Urges Moses Itauma to Battle KO Artist Heavyweight in Comeback"

Derek Chisora has named a heavyweight who he feels is the most appropriate comeback opponent for Moses Itauma to face in January.

According to promoter Frank Warren, the 21-year-old will return to action in the new year following his dramatic ninth-round stoppage defeat to Filip Hrgovic.

The pair squared off in August, with Itauma attempting to become the youngest world heavyweight champion since Mike Tyson dethroned Trevor Berbick in 1986.

After scoring an early knockdown and dominating the first eight rounds, however, the previously unbeaten prodigy was stopped on his feet and Hrgovic, instead, became the IBF champion.

As a result, the Croatian is expected to return to his home city of Zagreb and make a mandatory title defence against Frank Sanchez.

Itauma, meanwhile, could end up fighting in the same month of January, most likely against an opponent who is designed to rebuild his confidence.

Chisora, though, is keen for the southpaw to jump back into another 12-rounder, albeit while admitting that someone like Martin Bakole would be too great of a risk.

Instead, the heavyweight veteran has told media members, including Fight Hub TVthat British operators Frazer Clarke and Richard Riakporhe would make for suitable opponents.

“I wouldn’t put him in with Bakole yet. I think Frazer Clarke [could be an option]. [Or] he should fight Richard Riakporhe. That’s a good fight.”

Riakporhe, who has 16 knockouts from 20 wins, became the British heavyweight champion by dethroning Jeamie TKV with a fifth-round finish in April, while Clarke suffered a majority decision defeat to Justis Huni on the same card.

As for Bakole, the Congolese giant has not fought since his controversial draw with Efe Ajagba in May 2025.

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