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Info on the Paul-Joshua fight, NFL Week 16 and CFP race on a busy weekend at sportsbooks

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As someone who deals with gambling (though admittedly I’m bad at it), I’m hesitant to give much betting advice. But since it’s the holiday season, I’d like to offer one amiable suggestion to American bettors: the next time a social media influencer-turned-boxer faces an busy two-time heavyweight champion and Olympic gold medalist, don’t bet on the YouTube guy.

At DraftKings, 90% of the bets placed and 90% of the money placed on the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight were on the underdog Paul. The bookmaker said he could have lost nearly $100 million if Paul, who finished 10-1 as an underdog on DraftKings, got upset. Instead, Joshua, a -1600 favorite, knocked him out in the sixth round and gave the American players another robust breakthrough.

“We were pleased with the outcome – the book did well and it was great to see so much interest in boxing,” Johnny Avello, director of sports operations, told ESPN on Sunday.

Seven years ago, when undefeated boxing champion Floyd Mayweather faced the UFC’s Conor McGregor, professional bettors bet on Mayweather, calling it the best betting opportunity of their lives. Meanwhile, the betting public sided with McGregor, even though he had never boxed professionally. Mayweather wore down McGregor and eventually knocked him out.

Eight years later, betting observers clearly haven’t learned their lesson after Friday’s Paul-Joshua fight. Kalshi’s forecasting market had volume in excess of $74 million in this fight, including a reportedly $183,954 position on Paul taken by one unfortunate client.

At Caesars Sportsbook, the fight returned only 20% of the amount wagered on the College Football Playoff opener between Alabama and Oklahoma.

“The fighting method was comparable to that of North Carolina State and Memphis the previous day,” said Joey Feazel of Caesars Sportsbook. “Some solid bets [on Joshua] He came in through the edged guys who knew how huge of a mismatch the fight should have been on paper.”

While most bettors took a long shot on Paul, there were a select few who were willing to risk a lot to win at least a little on Joshua. High-stakes bettor Christopher Dierkes called the fight “probably one of the biggest upsets in any big-stage sport.” He made the fight hard and believed that Joshua’s price, even this high, was still a bargain. He risked $1,077,044 that Paul would not win the fight and earned $157,549. He said he had basically only one fear before the fight.

“The real risk in my opinion was the hardware factor, which I thought was possible – obviously it’s boxing, crazier things have happened,” Dierkes, chief trading officer at sports prediction exchange Novig, told ESPN. “But I didn’t put too much stock in it, considering Joshua was very popular, already very wealthy, and unlikely to ruin his Jake Paul reputation.”

NFL odds and endings

  • On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs lost to the Tennessee Titans as 3-point favorites. It was the Chiefs’ eighth loss this season in games in which they were betting favorites, tied with the 2014 Recent Orleans Saints, 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 1983 Recent York Jets for the most losses as a favorite in a single season in the Super Bowl era. The Chiefs have failed to overcome the spread in seven straight games, tied with the Buccaneers for the longest such busy streak.

  • The Carolina Panthers, who upset the Buccaneers as a compact underdog, picked up their eighth outright win of the season as an underdog, tying Washington in 2015 as the team with the most wins in a season as an underdog.

  • According to Feazel, the Seattle Seahawks’ Thursday victory over the Los Angeles Rams was the second-biggest win of the season for Caesars Sportsbook bettors. The biggest win for Caesars bettors was the Buffalo Bills’ 41-40 win over the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1.

College football odds

  • Alabama will start the week as a 7-point underdog against No. 1 Indiana in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1. The Crimson Tide hasn’t finished a game with a lead of at least six points since the 2008 SEC Championship Game against Florida.

  • According to ESPN research, Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer has won 10 of his 14 games as an underdog in his coaching career, the best winning percentage of any coach who has been an underdog in at least 10 games since the 1978 FBS/FCS split.

College football quarterfinal lines

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Boxing

Dave Allen made his feelings clear after his corner, throwing in the towel to stop Hrgović’s fightback

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Dave Allen makes feelings clear on his corner throwing in the towel to stop Hrgovic fight

Tonight at Doncaster, coach Jamie Moore threw in the towel in the third round to prevent Dave Allen from taking further punishment due to the ponderous hand of Filip Hrgovic.

Allen was a significant underdog on paper and when the opening bell rang, events unfolded exactly as many expected, even despite the vocal cheering from the home team at Eco-Power Stadium.

Hrgovic overtook the Briton from the very beginning and he didn’t budge until the towel came in and Allen lunged wildly and landed little in return. While he looked disappointed in the moment, the hometown hero said after the fight that he had implicit trust in his coaches, Moore and Nigel Travis.

“These two have been with me through it all. I love them to death. If Jamie and Nige say enough is enough. Thank you for taking care of me. If Jamie and Nige think keeping is the right choice, then it is the right choice.”

Allen made no excuses for his defeat, saying Hrgovic was simply too good for him, and thanked his fans for their support nonetheless.

Few will argue with Moore’s decision, especially considering Hrgovic’s reputation as one of the division’s most tough heavyweights makes the chances of Allen firing one decisive shot increasingly slim. His decision, which would not have been simple for a vocal audience, allowed his fighter to drop down one level and fight another day.

Moore’s decision comes amid ongoing debate over whether Ben Davison and team should have pulled Fabio Wardley out of his grueling fight with Daniel Dubois earlier before the referee stopped play in the eleventh round. Tonight, Allen’s team didn’t want to leave anything to chance.

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Official video of the September 12 fight between Canelo Alvarez and Christian Mbilla in Riyad

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Image: Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli Official For September 12 In Riyadh

“Canelo Álvarez will return to the ring on September 12 in Riyad to face WBC super middleweight champion Christian Mbilli,” said Turki Alalshikh.

The fight comes a year after Canelo lost to Terence Crawford in Las Vegas – a Netflix event that reportedly attracted more than 41 million viewers. Before this loss, Canelo had spent years at the top of the division, recording nine successful super middleweight title defenses during his undisputed title run.

Mbilli becomes the undefeated WBC champion after winning the interim belt against Maciej Sulecki, before being elevated to full champion in January. The French-Cameroonian fighter has been systematically climbing the rankings and now he is fighting for the title with one of the biggest names in boxing.

“After so many years in this sport, my motivation is still the same: to challenge myself, represent Mexico and continue to build my legacy,” Canelo said. “Mbilli is undefeated and a great fighter, and I respect that.”

Canelo also made it clear that his preparation remains unchanged despite the stage and opponent.

“My focus is always on preparing, performing and giving the fans another great night of boxing,” Canelo said. “On September 12 in Riyad, we start a modern chapter with the same discipline, ambition and vision that have accompanied me throughout my career.”

Mbilli took into account the scale of the opportunity and the interest surrounding the match-up.

“My last fight was the fight of the year,” Mbilli said. “In September against Canelo Alvarez, it will be the fight of the decade.”

“And when the fight is over, the world will witness my historic victory,” he added.

A press conference is scheduled for May 23 in Cairo, where both fighters are expected to meet publicly face-to-face for the first time since their official fight.

The announcement ends weeks of speculation about Canelo’s next opponent and gives Mbilli the biggest fight of his career against one of the biggest names in the sport.

Youtube video

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LIVE Scorecard Dave Allen vs Filip Hrgovic

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Dave Allen and Filip Hrgovic face off on the official Doncaster fight poster ahead of their heavyweight clash.

World Boxing News presents the Doncaster scorecard as David Allen takes on Filip Hrgovic in a heavyweight clash at the Keepmoat Stadium.

British heavyweight David Allen returns tonight in front of the home crowd against a former world title challenger Filip Hrgovic in a hazardous fight at the crossroads.

Allen looks to continue his Cinderella story as Hrgovic tries to force his way into the heavyweight title fight after recovering from the first defeat of his career.

A win for Allen would be the biggest win of his career, while Hrgovic knows another defeat could severely damage his hopes of returning to world-class competition.

WBN provides the live scoreboard for the competition below, as well as live results throughout the night.


Allen vs. Hrgovic scorecard

David Allen vs. Filip Hrgovic fight

Heavyweight competition
Doncaster, England
10×3


Round Allen Hrgović
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Round 7
Round 8
Round 9
Round 10
Totals:

Official result:


Announcement

Allen enters the fight looking to build on recent victories and secure a unique win of his heavyweight career against one of the most hazardous fighters in the division.

Hrgovic arrives with a 19-1 record and knows a victory will take him back to the world title after losing to Daniel Dubois.

The heavyweight clash will headline the Queensberry Promotions event in Doncaster and will be of huge importance for both fighters in the second half of 2026.

The Allen vs Hrgovic match result will continue and live coverage will be available on World Boxing News.


About the author

Phil Jay is the editor-in-chief of World Boxing News (WBN) and a boxing veteran with over 15 years of experience. Read the full biography.

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