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Canelo vs. Crawford: What statistics, numbers tell us about the fight

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The undisputed master of the super medium weight, Canelo Alvarez, will face Trywford in one of the most anticipated fights in the latest memory on Saturday, because both fighters want to make an older statement at the Allegiant stadium in Las Vegas (Netflix, 21:00 et).

Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KO), who has already won 11 world titles in four weight classes, will try to provide his place as one of the largest boxers of this generation, maintaining his unquestionable status and placing the first figure on the two-level unquestioned master Crawford.

Crawford (41-0, 31 KO) moves two classes of weight, trying to become the first boxer of men who achieved the unquestioned status in three weight classes.

Canelo, ESPN warrior for 8 pounds per pound, knows the position of Crawford. Canelo moved the division in 2022, trying to win the title of world champion in Delicate Heavyweight, but was beaten by Dmitry Bivol.

Crawford, no.

“I have more to lose,” said Crawford ESPN. “There are so many people who can’t wait to say that I’m not as good as people thought that I was. But Canelo also has something to lose because she would destroy his career if the warrior appeared two classes and defeated him.”

The difference in size and the fact that Canelo is fighting in this division or higher for the last 12 fights is one of the reasons why Canelo is a favorite to win (-175 for the ESPN plant), but Crawford (5 feet-8, 74-inch range) has a height and range above Canelo (5 feet-7½, 70½, 70½).

Let’s devote ourselves deeper into what some numbers associated with this duel can tell us.


11: Ko Crawford in his last 12 fights. Crawford turned out to be a much more prolific finisher in recent years, with an excellent series of 11 consecutive knockouts from December 2016 to July 2023. This series was broken when Crawford moved to 154 pounds to face Israil Madrymofove. He will face Canelo in 168 pounds, where the super medium -sized master in the weight defeated one of the heaviest hitters of this era (Gennadiy Golovkin, Edgar Berlanga, Callum Smith) and did not approach the canvas. While Canelo is a larger warrior, he was not a great finisher in the last few years, and his last knockout appeared against Caleb Plant in 2021. All signs indicate the fight against Crawford at a distance.

75.6%: Crawford knockout indicator.

61.9%: Canelo knockout indicator.

9: Fighters have eliminated Crawford for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters have eliminated Canelo’s career for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters who have gone from Crawford since 2014.

7: Fighters who have reached the distance from Canelo over the past three years.

0: Times Canelo and Crawford were knocked down in their career.

288-9-2: Combined record of the last 10 Canelo opponents before fighting Canelo.

258-12-5: Combined record of the last 10 opponents of Crawford before they fought with Crawford.

According to the record, Canelo seems to be a better opposition in her last 10 fights than Crawford. However, after closer control, the quality of the competition is closer.

Canelo was the first to place flaws in the record of the former Masters Factory (21-0), Billy Joe Saunders (30-0) and Jaime Munguia (43-0) as well as Rivals Scull (23-0) and Berlanga (22-0).

As for Crawford, Amir Khan was two fights removed from Canelo destruction when he fought “Bud” and the record of David Avanesaan (29-3-1) was not impressive even with a relatively faint CV. However, Crawford has an impressive victory of KO over Errolem Spence Jr. (28-0) and strong Shawn Porter (31-3-1).

2 years, 2 months, 10 days: Age difference between Crawford (37) and Canelo (34).

The course can be a decisive factor in battle. Although Canelo is younger, he fought over twice with rounds, which Crawford has in his career (520 to 245). Canelo was much more lively than Crawford in recent years, which could have been in his favor, but Crawford was slightly damaged in his career when he approached its 38th birthday on September 28.

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Canelo, boxing superhero

In the 25th digital anniversary of ESPN Deportes, we look with a lively look at Canelo Alvarez’s career, a Latin boxer who dominated a conversation in world sports.

+12.8: Canelo’s +/-, seventh among masters and pretenders for the title.

36.1%: Canelo’s Punch Connect percent, fourth among masters and pretenders for the title.

7.7: Average blows landed on a round against Crawford, the eighth most fine among the masters and pretenders for the title.

10: Times Crawford made a decision in 41 fights. No judge has ever fought for his opponent.

36.1%: No warrior has particularly high performance, but Canelo was an extremely precise landing of 36.1% of his blows. Perhaps he will have to find a way to be a more busy warrior, because Crawford showed an underestimated defense. Opponents landed on an average of 7.7 blows per round.

21: Combined world titles won by Canelo and Crawford (10 for Crawford, 11 for Canelo).

1: The fighter who won the world titles in a lightweight and super medium weight: Dingaan “The Rose” Thobel.

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Oscar De La Hoya Analyzes Canelos Decision Victory Over Christian Mbilli for WBC Title

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"Oscar De La Hoya Analyzes Canelo's Decision Victory Over Christian Mbilli for WBC Title"

Oscar De La Hoya has questioned the general consensus that Canelo Alvarez is a Mexican boxing legend following his unanimous decision victory over Christian Mbilli.

The 36-year-old reclaimed his WBC title last Saturday, having lost his undisputed super-middleweight crown in his previous outing, against Terence Crawfordin September 2025.

Following that defeat, many wondered whether Canelo could succeed again at world level but, sure enough, he did just that by dethroning Mbilli.

Not only did he claim a convincing points victory, but the Mexican contained Mbilli’s aggression and controlled the majority of their contest with superior technical and defensive skills.

This, however, was not quite enough to satisfy his former promoter, De La Hoya, who has suggested that Canelo’s low punch output made for a largely tedious affair.

As per his semi-regular social media series, Clapback Thursdaythe Hall of Famer also undermined Canelo’s widely-accepted legacy as a Mexican great.

“I’m so f**king tired of 100 punches [being] thrown in a fight with no action whatsoever, and I know the fans are over it.

“We all miss those days of [Marco Antonio] Barrera, [Erik] Morales [and] Julio Cesar Chavez – that’s what Mexican boxing is known for.

“Canelo, do you try to proclaim you’re the best Mexican fighter ever? You couldn’t hold Chavez’ jockstrap. And I can name 10 other Mexican fighters who are way better boxers than you are. And they didn’t sell-out to fight in front of 15 people in Saudi Arabia.”

In fairness, Canelo has never proclaimed to be the greatest Mexican fighter in history, though most would argue he deserves to be considered in an all-time top 10.

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Devin Haney Confident Ahead of Dec. 19 Title Unification Battle with Liam Paro

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"Devin Haney Confident Ahead of Dec. 19 Title Unification Battle with Liam Paro"

A formal press release was issued today announcing the December 19 welterweight title unification between Devin Haney and Liam Paro at San Francisco’s Chase Center, and in anticipation of the meeting with a co-feature of Brian Norman vs Abel RamosHaney shared his excitement for what he expects to be another successful outing to snag some more hardware.

“My resume speaks for itself,” Haney said. “I’ve never been afraid to go into a champion’s backyard and put my record on the line. I went to Australia, took George Kambosos’ belts, and became undisputed lightweight champion of the world. Now I’m bringing another Australian world champion, Liam Paro, into my backyard. This time, I plan to take his belt and become a unified welterweight world champion right here at home.
“Oakland is where my story started, and the Bay Area has always been part of who I am. The Valkyries just brought a championship to Chase Center, and on December 19, I plan to keep that championship energy going.

“I made history in Australia. Now it’s time to make history at home.”

Paro, however hopes to upset the odds, knowing he’ll be coming into this fight as a decided underdog.

“Three years ago, I was on the undercard at Chase Center the night Devin fought Regis Prograis,” Paro said. “I said back then that Haney versus Paro rolls off the tongue. Now it’s here. Champion versus champion, two belts on the line, in his backyard.

“I’ve never taken the easy road. I went to Puerto Rico and took the title off Matias in front of his own people. Devin’s a great fighter and I respect that. But I’ve been the underdog plenty of times and I’ve made history before. December 19, I’m coming to unify the division and make more history.”

With the WBO and IBF welterweight world titles on the line, one fight will be heading into the new year halfway to undisputed.

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Liam Paro Set to Face Devin Haney at Chase Center for Title Showdown

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"Liam Paro Set to Face Devin Haney at Chase Center for Title Showdown"

Liam Paro served as supporting cast the last time Devin Haney headlined at Chase Center. Come December 19, he walks into San Francisco carrying the IBF welterweight title, gunning to strip Haney of his WBO strap.

Three years transformed Paro from an undercard face into a headline attraction. He watched Haney shut out Regis Prograis from the locker room in December 2023. Now he commands the marquee, even if getting US fight fans to open their wallets on pay-per-view presents an uphill battle.

“Three years ago, I was on the undercard at Chase Center the night Devin fought Regis Prograis. I said back then that Haney versus Paro rolls off the tongue. Now it is here. Champion versus champion, two belts on the line, in his backyard. I have never taken the easy road. I went to Puerto Rico and took the title off Matias in front of his own people,” Paro stated.

The Australian proved his mettle by snatching the 140-pound crown from Subriel Matias on hostile soil. Richardson Hitchins took it right back six months later, checking Paro’s momentum before mainstream crowds took notice.

The jump to 147 pounds provided the reboot he needed. Three straight wins, capped by a gritty points victory over Lewis Crocker to claim the IBF strap, set the stage for this encounter.

Haney ends a lengthy layoff on home turf. Sitting out more than twelve months makes asking fans to purchase a DAZN PPV against a fighter unknown to mainstream viewers a tough sell. Belts by themselves rarely move the needle at the box office.

Brian Norman Jr. takes on Abel Ramos in the ten-round co-feature. Norman dropped his WBO belt to Haney last November and must now accept undercard placement on his conqueror’s bill.

Paro earned his position the hard way. December 19 decides if his punch output can upset the hometown favorite or if Haney cruises behind his jab.

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