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Canelo vs. Crawford: What statistics, numbers tell us about the fight

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The undisputed master of the super medium weight, Canelo Alvarez, will face Trywford in one of the most anticipated fights in the latest memory on Saturday, because both fighters want to make an older statement at the Allegiant stadium in Las Vegas (Netflix, 21:00 et).

Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KO), who has already won 11 world titles in four weight classes, will try to provide his place as one of the largest boxers of this generation, maintaining his unquestionable status and placing the first figure on the two-level unquestioned master Crawford.

Crawford (41-0, 31 KO) moves two classes of weight, trying to become the first boxer of men who achieved the unquestioned status in three weight classes.

Canelo, ESPN warrior for 8 pounds per pound, knows the position of Crawford. Canelo moved the division in 2022, trying to win the title of world champion in Delicate Heavyweight, but was beaten by Dmitry Bivol.

Crawford, no.

“I have more to lose,” said Crawford ESPN. “There are so many people who can’t wait to say that I’m not as good as people thought that I was. But Canelo also has something to lose because she would destroy his career if the warrior appeared two classes and defeated him.”

The difference in size and the fact that Canelo is fighting in this division or higher for the last 12 fights is one of the reasons why Canelo is a favorite to win (-175 for the ESPN plant), but Crawford (5 feet-8, 74-inch range) has a height and range above Canelo (5 feet-7½, 70½, 70½).

Let’s devote ourselves deeper into what some numbers associated with this duel can tell us.


11: Ko Crawford in his last 12 fights. Crawford turned out to be a much more prolific finisher in recent years, with an excellent series of 11 consecutive knockouts from December 2016 to July 2023. This series was broken when Crawford moved to 154 pounds to face Israil Madrymofove. He will face Canelo in 168 pounds, where the super medium -sized master in the weight defeated one of the heaviest hitters of this era (Gennadiy Golovkin, Edgar Berlanga, Callum Smith) and did not approach the canvas. While Canelo is a larger warrior, he was not a great finisher in the last few years, and his last knockout appeared against Caleb Plant in 2021. All signs indicate the fight against Crawford at a distance.

75.6%: Crawford knockout indicator.

61.9%: Canelo knockout indicator.

9: Fighters have eliminated Crawford for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters have eliminated Canelo’s career for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters who have gone from Crawford since 2014.

7: Fighters who have reached the distance from Canelo over the past three years.

0: Times Canelo and Crawford were knocked down in their career.

288-9-2: Combined record of the last 10 Canelo opponents before fighting Canelo.

258-12-5: Combined record of the last 10 opponents of Crawford before they fought with Crawford.

According to the record, Canelo seems to be a better opposition in her last 10 fights than Crawford. However, after closer control, the quality of the competition is closer.

Canelo was the first to place flaws in the record of the former Masters Factory (21-0), Billy Joe Saunders (30-0) and Jaime Munguia (43-0) as well as Rivals Scull (23-0) and Berlanga (22-0).

As for Crawford, Amir Khan was two fights removed from Canelo destruction when he fought “Bud” and the record of David Avanesaan (29-3-1) was not impressive even with a relatively faint CV. However, Crawford has an impressive victory of KO over Errolem Spence Jr. (28-0) and strong Shawn Porter (31-3-1).

2 years, 2 months, 10 days: Age difference between Crawford (37) and Canelo (34).

The course can be a decisive factor in battle. Although Canelo is younger, he fought over twice with rounds, which Crawford has in his career (520 to 245). Canelo was much more lively than Crawford in recent years, which could have been in his favor, but Crawford was slightly damaged in his career when he approached its 38th birthday on September 28.

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In the 25th digital anniversary of ESPN Deportes, we look with a lively look at Canelo Alvarez’s career, a Latin boxer who dominated a conversation in world sports.

+12.8: Canelo’s +/-, seventh among masters and pretenders for the title.

36.1%: Canelo’s Punch Connect percent, fourth among masters and pretenders for the title.

7.7: Average blows landed on a round against Crawford, the eighth most fine among the masters and pretenders for the title.

10: Times Crawford made a decision in 41 fights. No judge has ever fought for his opponent.

36.1%: No warrior has particularly high performance, but Canelo was an extremely precise landing of 36.1% of his blows. Perhaps he will have to find a way to be a more busy warrior, because Crawford showed an underestimated defense. Opponents landed on an average of 7.7 blows per round.

21: Combined world titles won by Canelo and Crawford (10 for Crawford, 11 for Canelo).

1: The fighter who won the world titles in a lightweight and super medium weight: Dingaan “The Rose” Thobel.

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Carl Froch Claims One Welterweight Champion Could Have Stopped Terence Crawfords Unbeaten Streak

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"Carl Froch Claims One Welterweight Champion Could Have Stopped Terence Crawford's Unbeaten Streak"

Terence Crawford faced and defeated 42 different opponents during a 17-year career, but super-middleweight icon Carl Froch believes that there is one welterweight who would have put an end to Crawford’s unbeaten streak if they were to meet in their primes.

Crawford became the first post-war boxer to claim the undisputed title in three separate weight divisions last September; a run which began as a super-lightweight in 2015 by defeating Thomas Dulorme, then unifying against Viktor Postol before halting Julius Indongo in an undisputed title showdown.

‘Bud’ then moved on to the welterweight scene and knocked out Jeff Horn to capture the WBO world title on his 147lb debut, making five defences of the title before colliding with fierce rival and three-belt unified titleholder, Errol Spence Jr, in 2023.

In a unforgettable fight, Crawford brutally beat Spence down in an authoritative ninth-round stoppage win to capture the undisputed welterweight throne. Talk then turned to an unprecedented three-weight move up to super-middleweight to take on Canelo Alvarez.

After stopping off at super-welterweight to dethrone Israil Madrimov on his way up, Crawford debuted at super-middleweight in a challenge for Canelo’s undisputed crown and outboxed the Mexican superstar in an iconic win last year, hanging up the gloves three months later.

Despite those legendary achievements, Froch picked Floyd Mayweather Jr to come out on top in a potential fantasy fight against the Omaha southpaw, in an episode of ‘Froch on Fighting’.

Mayweather’s achievements speak for themselves, retiring with a perfect 50-0 unbeaten record after claiming world honours in five divisions, with his most impressive reign coming at 147lbs, where he defeated the likes of Manny Pacquiao and Shane Mosley.

Mayweather has been rumoured to make a comeback, but while there would be huge finances that would be on offer, Crawford has revealed that he would have no interest in ending his retirement for a bout with ‘TBE’, believing that the 49-year-old is ‘old’ and ‘done’.

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Conor Benn Reveals His Pick: Oscar De La Hoya vs Terence Crawford Showdown in Boxing History

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Conor Benn Reveals His Pick: Oscar De La Hoya vs Terence Crawford Showdown in Boxing History

Terence Crawford has been hailed by many as the best fighter of this generation following his retirement, and now WBC welterweight title hopeful Conor Benn has shared how he thinks ‘Bud’ would have fared against six-division world champion Oscar De La Hoya.

Crawford became boxing’s sixth five-division world champion with an iconic win over Canelo Alvarez back in September; joining Thomas Hearns, Sugar Ray Leonard, De La Hoya, Floyd Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao in that elite and exclusive club reserved only for legends of the sport.

Of that group, only De La Hoya and Pacquiao have gone on to conquer a sixth division, with De La Hoya’s 2004 WBO middleweight world title win over Felix Sturm seeing the Californian become the first boxer to ever become a sextuple champion.

Crawford could have joined ‘’The Golden Boy’ and ‘Pac-Man’ in achieving that feat, having been offered a middleweight world title shot during the aftermath of his triumph over Canelo late last year – a proposal which later fell apart due to a failed doping test by Janibek Alimkhanuly.

Continuing the praise that the Omaha-born southpaw has received since announcing his retirement last December, Benn told Daily Mail Boxing that he would favour the undefeated star to get the better of De La Hoya, if they were to meet in their primes.

Benn also went on to predict that Crawford would retain his unbeaten streak against other greats of the game, picking him to come out on top against each of Mayweather, Julio Cesar Chavez, Pernell Whitaker and Roberto Duran.

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Robert Garcia Evaluates Terence Crawfords Odds Against Prime Pacquiao

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"Robert Garcia Evaluates Terence Crawford's Odds Against Prime Pacquiao"

Top trainer and former world champion Robert Garcia has considered the outcome of a fantasy showdown between Terence Crawford and Manny Pacquiao.

The two generational greats reportedly came close to squaring off in 2021, back when Crawford was the WBO welterweight champion and ‘Pac Man’ held the WBA title.

Their unification match never materialised, though, as Pacquiao was scheduled to face Errol Spence Jr before ‘The Truth’ pulled out with a torn retina.

Instead, the Filipino legend ended up losing his WBA title to Yordenis Ugas at a stage when, while still serviceable, he was quite clearly past his best.

Crawford, meanwhile, was hitting top form around this time, just a few fights away from producing arguably a career-best performance against Spence.

He did, of course, manage to stop his welterweight rival in nine rounds, before moving up to 168lbs and becoming a three-division undisputed champion by dethroning Canelo Alvarez last September.

Based on those two performances, coach Garcia has told ESNEWS that he would favour ‘Bud’ to defeat even a prime version of Pacquiao.

“The Crawford that beat Spence – and the Crawford that beat Canelo – would probably beat Manny.”

While Crawford’s prime almost certainly came during his run of eight stoppages at welterweight, it is harder to pinpoint when Pacquiao ultimately reached his peak.

In terms of his most destructive performance at world level, however, many will point towards his second-round finish over Ricky Hatton in 2009.

While facing the ‘Hitman’ at 140lbs, Pacquiao would cement himself as a formidable welterweight champion soon after, dethroning Miguel Cotto with a 12th-round stoppage for the WBO title.

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