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Canelo vs. Crawford: What statistics, numbers tell us about the fight

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The undisputed master of the super medium weight, Canelo Alvarez, will face Trywford in one of the most anticipated fights in the latest memory on Saturday, because both fighters want to make an older statement at the Allegiant stadium in Las Vegas (Netflix, 21:00 et).

Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KO), who has already won 11 world titles in four weight classes, will try to provide his place as one of the largest boxers of this generation, maintaining his unquestionable status and placing the first figure on the two-level unquestioned master Crawford.

Crawford (41-0, 31 KO) moves two classes of weight, trying to become the first boxer of men who achieved the unquestioned status in three weight classes.

Canelo, ESPN warrior for 8 pounds per pound, knows the position of Crawford. Canelo moved the division in 2022, trying to win the title of world champion in Delicate Heavyweight, but was beaten by Dmitry Bivol.

Crawford, no.

“I have more to lose,” said Crawford ESPN. “There are so many people who can’t wait to say that I’m not as good as people thought that I was. But Canelo also has something to lose because she would destroy his career if the warrior appeared two classes and defeated him.”

The difference in size and the fact that Canelo is fighting in this division or higher for the last 12 fights is one of the reasons why Canelo is a favorite to win (-175 for the ESPN plant), but Crawford (5 feet-8, 74-inch range) has a height and range above Canelo (5 feet-7½, 70½, 70½).

Let’s devote ourselves deeper into what some numbers associated with this duel can tell us.


11: Ko Crawford in his last 12 fights. Crawford turned out to be a much more prolific finisher in recent years, with an excellent series of 11 consecutive knockouts from December 2016 to July 2023. This series was broken when Crawford moved to 154 pounds to face Israil Madrymofove. He will face Canelo in 168 pounds, where the super medium -sized master in the weight defeated one of the heaviest hitters of this era (Gennadiy Golovkin, Edgar Berlanga, Callum Smith) and did not approach the canvas. While Canelo is a larger warrior, he was not a great finisher in the last few years, and his last knockout appeared against Caleb Plant in 2021. All signs indicate the fight against Crawford at a distance.

75.6%: Crawford knockout indicator.

61.9%: Canelo knockout indicator.

9: Fighters have eliminated Crawford for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters have eliminated Canelo’s career for the first time since 2014.

3: Fighters who have gone from Crawford since 2014.

7: Fighters who have reached the distance from Canelo over the past three years.

0: Times Canelo and Crawford were knocked down in their career.

288-9-2: Combined record of the last 10 Canelo opponents before fighting Canelo.

258-12-5: Combined record of the last 10 opponents of Crawford before they fought with Crawford.

According to the record, Canelo seems to be a better opposition in her last 10 fights than Crawford. However, after closer control, the quality of the competition is closer.

Canelo was the first to place flaws in the record of the former Masters Factory (21-0), Billy Joe Saunders (30-0) and Jaime Munguia (43-0) as well as Rivals Scull (23-0) and Berlanga (22-0).

As for Crawford, Amir Khan was two fights removed from Canelo destruction when he fought “Bud” and the record of David Avanesaan (29-3-1) was not impressive even with a relatively faint CV. However, Crawford has an impressive victory of KO over Errolem Spence Jr. (28-0) and strong Shawn Porter (31-3-1).

2 years, 2 months, 10 days: Age difference between Crawford (37) and Canelo (34).

The course can be a decisive factor in battle. Although Canelo is younger, he fought over twice with rounds, which Crawford has in his career (520 to 245). Canelo was much more lively than Crawford in recent years, which could have been in his favor, but Crawford was slightly damaged in his career when he approached its 38th birthday on September 28.

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Canelo, boxing superhero

In the 25th digital anniversary of ESPN Deportes, we look with a lively look at Canelo Alvarez’s career, a Latin boxer who dominated a conversation in world sports.

+12.8: Canelo’s +/-, seventh among masters and pretenders for the title.

36.1%: Canelo’s Punch Connect percent, fourth among masters and pretenders for the title.

7.7: Average blows landed on a round against Crawford, the eighth most fine among the masters and pretenders for the title.

10: Times Crawford made a decision in 41 fights. No judge has ever fought for his opponent.

36.1%: No warrior has particularly high performance, but Canelo was an extremely precise landing of 36.1% of his blows. Perhaps he will have to find a way to be a more busy warrior, because Crawford showed an underestimated defense. Opponents landed on an average of 7.7 blows per round.

21: Combined world titles won by Canelo and Crawford (10 for Crawford, 11 for Canelo).

1: The fighter who won the world titles in a lightweight and super medium weight: Dingaan “The Rose” Thobel.

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Heavyweight Shocks Again: Tyson Fury Left Bloodied and Knocked Out Cold

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"Heavyweight Shocks Again: Tyson Fury Left Bloodied and Knocked Out Cold"

Otto Wallin, the heavyweight who left Tyson Fury covered in blood and was later stopped by Anthony Joshua, suffered another crushing setback when Vladyslav Sirenko knocked him out cold in the final round of their Zuffa Boxing clash in New York.

Wallin was trailing on all three scorecards before Sirenko landed a devastating right hand followed by a left hook in the closing seconds of the tenth and final round.

The Swedish southpaw crashed to the canvas and remained down long enough for a stretcher to be brought into the ring, although he later sat up and responded to medical staff.

From Tyson Fury Scare To Another Knockout

Wallin’s career has become one of the heavyweight division’s biggest “what if” stories.

In 2019, he came within touching distance of ending Tyson Fury’s unbeaten record after opening a horrific cut above the Briton’s right eye that required 47 stitches. Many believed the contest could have been stopped before Fury battled through to win on points.

Speaking exclusively to World Boxing News three years later, Wallin insisted the fight would have been waved off had the roles been reversed.

“I think the cuts that he had were very bad. He had 47 stitches after the fight. If I had those cuts, the doctors would have stopped the fight, for sure,” Wallin told WBN.

Despite that disappointment, Wallin rebuilt his career by defeating current WBA heavyweight champion Murat Gassiev before earning high-profile clashes with Joshua and Derek Chisora.

His defeat to Joshua ended in a fifth-round stoppage. This latest loss to Sirenko marks the second knockout defeat of Wallin’s career and leaves the 35-year-old facing the toughest questions yet over his future.

Zuffa Boxing

Vladyslav Sirenko Scores Career-Best Win

For Sirenko, the victory represented the biggest win of his professional career.

The Ukrainian improved to 23-1 with 20 knockouts by stopping one of the heavyweight division’s most respected contenders after bouncing back from last year’s defeat to Solomon Dacres.

Wallin once looked destined for another world title opportunity after pushing Fury to the brink and defeating future WBA heavyweight champion Murat Gassiev.

Two knockout defeats later, that dream looks further away than ever.


About the Author

Phil Jay is the Editor-in-Chief of World Boxing News (WBN), a BWAA-acknowledged boxing news website founded in 2010. A veteran boxing reporter with 16 years of experience, he has interviewed world champions, broken international exclusives, and reported ringside from major events. His work is published worldwide through WBN and distributed on platforms including Apple News.

Read Phil Jay’s full bio and latest stories.

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Terence Crawford Declares One Current Fighter Unbeatable: He Will Take Over

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Terence Crawford Declares One Current Fighter Unbeatable: "He Will Take Over"

Terence Crawford believes one man will follow in his footsteps and retire as an unbeaten world champion, essentially becoming a generational great in the process.

‘Bud’ became not only a world champion but a three-division undisputed king, ending his career with a legacy-defining unanimous decision triumph over Canelo Alvarez.

Even before that, Crawford was considered an elite pound-for-pound operator for over a decade, with many believing his most complete performance came against Errol Spence Jr in 2023.

But while the American is perhaps in a class of his own, he nonetheless believes that four-division world champion Shakur Stevenson can achieve a similar degree of success.

The 29-year-old claimed a career-best victory in January, losing just one round as he dethroned Teofimo Lopez with a masterful unanimous decision victory.

Having now signed with Dana White’s Zuffa Boxing, though, it remains to be seen whether he defends his WBO super-lightweight title or pursues opportunities elsewhere.

Either way, Crawford has told Fight Hub TV that Stevenson has the mental and physical attributes to remain unbeaten at the highest level.

“I think Shakur [will take over]for sure, Shakur hands down. I think, given the opportunity, he’s going to show the world that he’s the best. His mental, his defense [sets him apart]takes his craft serious. He’s the type of the fighter that you gotta pull out the gym. [Is he beatable?] Not at all. Everybody [is] beatable, but I don’t see nobody beating him.”

Since inking a promotional deal with Zuffa, Stevenson has named Devin Haney and Gervonta Davis as two potential opponents who would cement his greatness.

The slick southpaw could therefore compete anywhere between lightweight and 147lbs, depending on which division offers the most realistic opportunities.

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Usyk Analyzes Anthony Joshuas Performance Against Kristian Prenga After Overcoming Two Knockdowns

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"Usyk Analyzes Anthony Joshua's Performance Against Kristian Prenga After Overcoming Two Knockdowns"

Oleksandr Usyk has shared his reaction to Anthony Joshua‘s dramatic knockout victory against Kristian Prenga.

Usyk nearly suffered his own shock defeat in May when he was pushed to the limit by kickboxing star Rico Verhoevenand two months on it was nrw teammate Joshua’s turn to come close to a massive upset loss that would have stunned the heavyweight division.

The Brit was dropped twice by massive underdog Prenga in the opening round of their clash in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia on Saturday, but ‘AJ’ managed to recover and record a big knockdown of his own in the second round that resulted in the stoppage victory.

Joshua and Usyk now train together, having famously had two battles for the unified world heavyweight title in 2021 and 2022, and the Ukrainian has had his say on his stablemate’s victory over Prenga.

Speaking to TalkSporttwo-time undisputed champion Usyk praised Joshua, insisting ‘AJ is back’ before predicting that Joshua will now claim a knockout win over long-term rival Tyson Fury in his next bout.

“Anthony Joshua is next undisputed champion. First round it’s a test but AJ is back.

It’s boxing, [the] big upper cut is good, it’s a knockdown. AJ [come] back and win.

“Greedy Belly [Fury] will speak now and say weak chin, Greedy Belly get out. AJ wins [against Fury], [he will] knock him out.”

Fury was victorious on Friday as he earned a seventh round retirement win against Mariusz Wach in Thailand, paving the way for the showdown against Joshua later this year.

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