Boxing
Canelo vs. Crawford: What statistics, numbers tell us about the fight
The undisputed master of the super medium weight, Canelo Alvarez, will face Trywford in one of the most anticipated fights in the latest memory on Saturday, because both fighters want to make an older statement at the Allegiant stadium in Las Vegas (Netflix, 21:00 et).
Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KO), who has already won 11 world titles in four weight classes, will try to provide his place as one of the largest boxers of this generation, maintaining his unquestionable status and placing the first figure on the two-level unquestioned master Crawford.
Crawford (41-0, 31 KO) moves two classes of weight, trying to become the first boxer of men who achieved the unquestioned status in three weight classes.
Canelo, ESPN warrior for 8 pounds per pound, knows the position of Crawford. Canelo moved the division in 2022, trying to win the title of world champion in Delicate Heavyweight, but was beaten by Dmitry Bivol.
Crawford, no.
“I have more to lose,” said Crawford ESPN. “There are so many people who can’t wait to say that I’m not as good as people thought that I was. But Canelo also has something to lose because she would destroy his career if the warrior appeared two classes and defeated him.”
The difference in size and the fact that Canelo is fighting in this division or higher for the last 12 fights is one of the reasons why Canelo is a favorite to win (-175 for the ESPN plant), but Crawford (5 feet-8, 74-inch range) has a height and range above Canelo (5 feet-7½, 70½, 70½).
Let’s devote ourselves deeper into what some numbers associated with this duel can tell us.
11: Ko Crawford in his last 12 fights. Crawford turned out to be a much more prolific finisher in recent years, with an excellent series of 11 consecutive knockouts from December 2016 to July 2023. This series was broken when Crawford moved to 154 pounds to face Israil Madrymofove. He will face Canelo in 168 pounds, where the super medium -sized master in the weight defeated one of the heaviest hitters of this era (Gennadiy Golovkin, Edgar Berlanga, Callum Smith) and did not approach the canvas. While Canelo is a larger warrior, he was not a great finisher in the last few years, and his last knockout appeared against Caleb Plant in 2021. All signs indicate the fight against Crawford at a distance.
75.6%: Crawford knockout indicator.
61.9%: Canelo knockout indicator.
9: Fighters have eliminated Crawford for the first time since 2014.
3: Fighters have eliminated Canelo’s career for the first time since 2014.
3: Fighters who have gone from Crawford since 2014.
7: Fighters who have reached the distance from Canelo over the past three years.
0: Times Canelo and Crawford were knocked down in their career.
288-9-2: Combined record of the last 10 Canelo opponents before fighting Canelo.
258-12-5: Combined record of the last 10 opponents of Crawford before they fought with Crawford.
According to the record, Canelo seems to be a better opposition in her last 10 fights than Crawford. However, after closer control, the quality of the competition is closer.
Canelo was the first to place flaws in the record of the former Masters Factory (21-0), Billy Joe Saunders (30-0) and Jaime Munguia (43-0) as well as Rivals Scull (23-0) and Berlanga (22-0).
As for Crawford, Amir Khan was two fights removed from Canelo destruction when he fought “Bud” and the record of David Avanesaan (29-3-1) was not impressive even with a relatively faint CV. However, Crawford has an impressive victory of KO over Errolem Spence Jr. (28-0) and strong Shawn Porter (31-3-1).
2 years, 2 months, 10 days: Age difference between Crawford (37) and Canelo (34).
The course can be a decisive factor in battle. Although Canelo is younger, he fought over twice with rounds, which Crawford has in his career (520 to 245). Canelo was much more lively than Crawford in recent years, which could have been in his favor, but Crawford was slightly damaged in his career when he approached its 38th birthday on September 28.
1:39
Canelo, boxing superhero
In the 25th digital anniversary of ESPN Deportes, we look with a lively look at Canelo Alvarez’s career, a Latin boxer who dominated a conversation in world sports.
+12.8: Canelo’s +/-, seventh among masters and pretenders for the title.
36.1%: Canelo’s Punch Connect percent, fourth among masters and pretenders for the title.
7.7: Average blows landed on a round against Crawford, the eighth most fine among the masters and pretenders for the title.
10: Times Crawford made a decision in 41 fights. No judge has ever fought for his opponent.
36.1%: No warrior has particularly high performance, but Canelo was an extremely precise landing of 36.1% of his blows. Perhaps he will have to find a way to be a more busy warrior, because Crawford showed an underestimated defense. Opponents landed on an average of 7.7 blows per round.
21: Combined world titles won by Canelo and Crawford (10 for Crawford, 11 for Canelo).
1: The fighter who won the world titles in a lightweight and super medium weight: Dingaan “The Rose” Thobel.
Canelo Alvarez still talks like a central figure in the super middleweight division, even though he no longer holds all the belts after his loss to Terence Crawford.
“They have to fight each other and then I will choose the winner.” Canelo said to Mr. Verzace. “At some point we all have to earn what we deserve, right? And they have to earn it.”
The comments were notable because Canelo is no longer a world champion at 168, and yet he still speaks from a position that allows him to avoid the same path he believes others should follow.
Since his loss to Crawford last September and absence following elbow surgery, the 168-pound belts have spread to a up-to-date group of champions that includes Christian Mbilli, Hamzah Sheeraz, Osleys Iglesias and Jaime Munguia.
Despite the loss, Canelo will still have an immediate shot at winning the world title against Mbilli on September 12 in Riyad.
This has sparked criticism from some fans who believe the former undisputed champion should now prove himself against threatening rivals before being given another shot at the title.
Fighters such as Lester Martinez, Diego Pacheco and Bektemir Melikuziev were mentioned by fans as opponents that Canelo would normally have to face if he was treated as a standard fighter rather than boxing’s biggest commercial star.
Canelo also rejected the idea of closely studying up-to-date names entering the division.
“I never check it,” he said when asked about the current situation in the super middleweight division.
For many fans, this reaction only reinforced the feeling that Canelo still sees himself as a cut above the rest of the division, even though he no longer holds all the belts.
But the Mexican star remains the sport’s biggest financial draw, which allows him to move on differently than most fighters after defeat. While younger fighters continue to try to establish themselves, Canelo returns to another championship fight.
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Last updated: 24/05/2026 at 21:10
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