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Matt Brown: Ian Machado Garry has championship potential but Islam Makhachev is the ‘wrong guy at the wrong time’

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Matt Brown: Ian Machado Garry has championship potential but Islam Makhachev is the ‘wrong guy at the wrong time’

Ian Machado Garry is finally getting his shot at UFC gold on Saturday, but he faces a daunting task going up against the No. 1 pound-for-pound fighter in the sport in Islam Makhachev.

Currently riding a remarkable 16-fight win streak, Makhachev has effectively looked unstoppable at both lightweight and welterweight. He's heavily favored to win on Saturday night but Garry is obviously gunning for the upset and his chance to shock the world by beating Makhachev to win the title.

Retired UFC welterweight Matt Brown believes Garry has everything necessary to become champion one day, but he just doesn't see how the always outspoken Irishman gets past a brick wall like Makhachev.

“He is an extremely skilled guy,†Brown said about Garry on the latest episode of The Fighter vs. The Writer. “I've given him praises for a long time. I think he's got championship material in him. I don't doubt that he can make this a good fight. He's just in the wrong place at the wrong time. Had he got a fight with Jack Della Maddalena, I think it would be a 50/50 fight. But here's Islam Makhachev, the wrong guy at the wrong time.

“So much of that is in this sport. So much comes down to timing and matchups. It's just unfortunate for Ian. I think he does have championship potential. I'd love to see him against the other top guys, the [Carlos] Prates, Michael Morales and guys like that. But Islam is just about as bad of a matchup as you could possibly put together.â€

In the simplest terms as far as strategy goes, Garry almost certainly has to stop Makhachev's takedowns if he hopes to have any success on the feet.

While Garry is certainly an elite striker, he's not known for having true knockout power, which means he may have to outpoint Makhachev for 25 minutes to get the job done at UFC 330.

Anything is possible but Brown just doesn't see how Garry stays off the ground for the entire fight because Makhachev could potentially land one big takedown and his opponent never gets up again.

“He's got to stop his takedowns,†Brown said. “That's the big thing and then somehow win on points on the feet or land some big shots to make Islam a little bit shy of coming in again or lands some big shots and get a knockout, which Ian is just not known for. It's not like it couldn't happen. We still get these matchups from 1990 all the time: Striker versus grappler. Of course, Ian has good grappling and Islam has good striking so it's not as pure as it used to be, but I think we know very clearly what both people's game plans are here and it's just a matter of who can implement it.

“When you have someone at the level of Islam and his wrestling, it's just hard to imagine someone is going to catch up to that unless they've been wrestling their whole life.â€

On the feet, Garry may have an advantage but Brown says it's not as lopsided as the fight hitting the floor. Makhachev may not be known as an elite striker but he can handle himself in those exchanges and because he doesn't have to fear Garry's power as much, he can not only survive but potentially thrive.

“The biggest issue here is Ian being more of a decision guy and not really a power striking, knockout guy, Islam might be able to make some mistakes on the feet,†Brown explained. “Let's say Ian is able to keep it on the feet, Islam can still make mistakes theoretically, he can go a little bit further to get the takedown because he's not at risk.

“But again hypothetically on paper, if Ian makes one mistake on the ground, that's probably going to be it. You can't do silly things on the ground with Islam Makhachev. Charles Oliveira found that out.â€

Because Makhachev is such a nightmare matchup, Brown says Garry's only real chance is putting on an absolutely flawless performance and it's just hard for anybody to do that in a five-round fight. At some point, Brown anticipates that Garry is going to make a mistake and that's all Makhachev needs to seize the opening to finish the fight.

“Islam can make some mistakes, but Ian really can't,†Brown said. “He can't really make mistakes. Because Islam will capitalize on those mistakes. He has to fight the perfect fight. Islam doesn't really have to fight the perfect fight. He's just got to fight his fight.â€

Listen to new episodes of The Fighter vs. The Writer every Tuesday with audio only versions of the podcast available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and iHeartRadio

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Andre Fili discusses not landing extra shots after epic UFC knockout: ‘I’m a criminal, but I’m not a piece of s***’

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Andre Fili discusses not landing extra shots after epic UFC knockout: ‘I’m a criminal, but I’m not a piece of s***’

Andre Fili knows where to draw the line.

On Saturday, Fili scored possibly the best knockout of his career, knocking out Kai Kamaka III with a head kick on the main card of UFC Vegas 122. The finish was brutal, putting Kamaka out before he even hit the canvas, but as he rushed forward to finish the fight, Fili pulled up before landing any follow-up shots, realizing Kamaka was unconscious.

At his post-fight press conference afterward, Fili expounded on the moment.

“I say this all the time: I'm a criminal, but I'm not a piece of shit,†Fili said. “I don't litter. I treat people with respect. And when I knock someone out, there's no reason to land that extra shot. He's got kids, he's got a wife, he's got a future outside of fighting. It's just not necessary, man. I hope he's OK. I didn't even really want to watch the replay back.

“Hurting people is part of the sport. I like being good at fighting. I like winning fights. I like getting paid to win fights. I like being on TV. Hurting people is a byproduct of that; it's not a driving force for me. So I'm not gonna land that extra shot.â€

Widely seen as one of the “good guys†of MMA, Fili has been a UFC veteran since 2013, and seemed to be getting emotional during his post-fight scrum. When asked about why, Fili explained.

“I poured everything I am, and everything I have into this performance, and I just really — I'm not scared of anybody in that cage,†Fili said. “Any apprehension or nerves or excitement or butterflies, it's all because I want to perform. I want to make my people proud, I want to make myself proud. I want to perform the way I know I can perform. And when it works out that way, it feels really good.

“And now I'm making enough money to where I can change the trajectory of my entire family. I come from violence and drug abuse and poverty. I live below the poverty line in America, which I know is different from being in some of these other countries, but it's below the poverty line nonetheless, and I'm here to break some generational curses. This shit's hard work.â€

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Christian Leroy Duncan eyes UFC title shot with Brendan Allen win

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Christian Leroy Duncan eyes UFC title shot with Brendan Allen win
Christian
Leroy Duncan believes a win over Brendan
Allen would warrant a shot at
Ultimate Fighting Championship gold or a matchup with a former
titleholder.

Duncan (15-2) is scheduled to headline
UFC Vegas 122 against Allen (27-7) on Saturday at Meta Apex in
Las Vegas. The Englishman has defeated Roman
Dolidze and Jared
Cannonier in his last two outings and hopes a victory over
Allen will earn him one of those opportunities.

Christian Leroy Duncan targets former champion as next step
after Brendan Allen

Duncan is 8-2 in the UFC and has won five straight fights. He
believes an impressive performance against Allen could propel him
past other middleweight contenders or put him one step closer to a
title shot.

‘I don't see why not [a title shot next],†Duncan told MMA
Fighting. “We get a good performance this weekend, I don't see why
not… Brendan Allen being Top 4, it puts us in that title contention
section where we've got Strickland and Imavov who are supposed to
be fighting next. We've got DDP amongst that mix of former
champions. It will be great to then put my hat in at the top level.
This year I fought Roman being a Top 15 fighter, Cannonier being a
Top 10 fighter and now Brendan Allen being a Top 5, so the natural
progression from that would be a former champion.â€

Middleweight champion Sean
Strickland has said compensation remains an obstacle to
finalizing the first title defense of his second reign, with
Nassourdine
Imavov his expected challenger. Former champions Khamzat
Chimaev and Dricus Du
Plessis are also seeking another fight with the 185-pound
titleholder. Chimaev lost the belt to Strickland earlier this year,
while du Plessis holds two wins over the American.

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Josh Hokit rips Alexander Volkov, teases move to light heavyweight

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Josh Hokit rips Alexander Volkov, teases move to light heavyweight
Josh
Hokit believes Alexander
Volkov will never get a chance to fight him.

Hokit (10-0) is scheduled to challenge Ciryl Gane
(14-2, one no contest) for the
Ultimate Fighting Championship heavyweight title at UFC
334 on Nov. 14 at Madison Square Garden in New York. Volkov has
criticized Hokit since the title fight was announced, and the
American has responded.

Josh Hokit says Alexander Volkov will never get his chance,
mocks heavyweight résumé

Volkov considers Hokit an easy matchup and predicts that Gane will
defeat the unbeaten contender. In response, Hokit compared their
records, noting that he defeated Derrick
Lewis and Curtis
Blaydes, both of whom beat Volkov.

“Drago†has won consecutive decisions over Jailton
Almeida and Waldo
Cortes-Acosta and is scheduled to face Rizvan
Kuniev at
UFC 333 on Oct. 24 in Abu Dhabi. Hokit added that Blaydes
defeated both Almeida and Kuniev. “The Incredible Hok†claims he
will already be dominating the light heavyweight division by the
time Volkov earns a fight with him.

“Volkov saying he'd beat me easy is funny… He'll never get the
chance,†Hokit wrote on X. “I just beat Blaydes and Lewis. Volkov
lost to BOTH. Now he's fighting Kuniev (who Blaydes beat), after
squeaking by Almeida (who Blaydes dominated). I’m going to kill
Ciryl, who he lost to twice. Zero finishes, pure boring. By the
time you earn a fight with me, I'll already be dominating LH.â€

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