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Mayer-Ryan and Zepeda-Farmer: key statistics of the boxing rematch

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Two main rematch on Saturday, when the WBO, Mikael Mayer, Sandy Ryan in Las Vegas (ESPN/ESPN+, 10.00 ET, with estimates at 19:00 ET at ESPN+), as well as the short-lived WBC title, William Zepeda, is aiming at the ESPN+), meets Tevin Farmer in Canceun, Mexico.

Mayer (20-2, 5 KO) defeated Ryan (7-2-1, 3 KO) by the decision of the majority in the main event of the boxing card at the Madison Square Garden theater in September last year. Before the fight, Ryan hit a can of red paint by an unidentified person when I leave the hotel to go to fight. Ryan was not undamaged and went to the place. She blamed Mayer and her team for the attack, something they denied.

The fighters developed a mighty contempt for themselves before fighting because of the trainer. Mayer trained with Kay Korom for most of her career, but in September 2023 “Coach Kay” also began training Ryan. Considering the conflict of interests, Mayer left Koroma for coach Kofi Yantuah, who was also in her team, after her losing with Natasha Jonas in January 2024.

Mayer defeated Ryan from the results cards 93-97, 94-96 and 95-95 in a close fight, which separated both warrior with only one blow-Mayer, he landed 186 blows to Ryan 185, and also put Ryan with power mounts (132-128). But Ryan landed three more stabs than Mayer (57 to 54) for 10 rounds.

Zepeda (32-0, 27 KO) defeated the farmer (33-7-1, 8 KO) by a decision divided in November last year in the fight for a lightweight WBC title. The fighters separated only one round on all three results cards (94-95 twice for Zepeda and 95-94 for a farmer).

While Zepeda, who was knocked down in round 4, threw more punches at 191 than a farmer, only 33.3% of his blows to 32.9% for the farmer landed. Zepeda also landed 90 blows to just 45 for a farmer.

Let’s look at both rematch by numbers. This report uses information from ESPN and Compubox research.


Mikaela Mayer vs. Sandy Ryan

-115: Ryan’s chances to win a fight according to the ESPN plant. Mayer is weaker at -105.

60: The percentage of blows landed through Ryan in rounds from 6 to 10 (111 of 185). Mayer landed 54% of his blows in the same period (101 of 186). The biggest difference in combat was Jab Mayer. She threw 317 strokes and 319 power blows, almost 50-50. Ryan threw 224 strokes and 343 power. Only 40% of her blows are stabs.

5: The number of titles is fighting for Ryan (including Saturday rematch with Mayer) in her 11 professional fights. Ryan defeated Marie-Bier Houle by a unanimous decision in April 2023 in order to gain a free WBO semi-edge title. She fought for a draw in the struggle of unification against Jessica McCaskill in September 2023, and then in March 2024 she did one successful defense against Terri Harper.

9: The number of titles is fighting for Mayer (including Saturday’s fight with Ryan) and the third in welterweight. Mayer lost to Natasha Jonas in January 2024 by dividing the decision, while requiring the IBF welterweight title. Then she beat Ryan in September 2024 to capture the WBO belt. She also had title fights at Junior Lightweight and Lightweight (short-lived title).

7: Mayer’s place in ESPN women’s rankings for pounds. It is also no.

1: The difference in blows landed in their first fight (186-185, in favor of Mayer).

32.6: The percentage of blows landed through Ryan in her first fight with Mayer (185 of 567). A higher percentage in JABS (25.4% to 17% for Mayer) has also landed.

9: The largest number of stabs landed through Mayer and Ryan in the first fight (Ryan in round 1 and Mayer in round 4). Neither Mayer nor Ryan threw stabs into double numbers in any round.

8: The number of rounds in which Ryan landed power in two -digit numbers to seven Ryan. The most effective Mayer round was 10 when 50% of her blows landed. Ryan landed 54.8% in round 4.

44: Total blows landed in the body through Mayer, up to 33 for Ryan. Of these Mayer, only five were stabs, only two landed by Ryan.


William Zepeda vs. Tevin Farmer

-750: Zepeda’s chances to win the fight according to the ESPN plant. The farmer is weaker in +475.

31.9: The average blow has landed on the round through Zepeda in the last 10 fights. This is the highest of the masters and contenders for the title at 135 pounds (15.9). He throws 96.5 blows to the round, also the highest among lightweight masters and contenders. For comparison, the farmer throws 55 stamps per round, while the average division is 56.6.

23.8: The average power blows landed on the round through Zepeda in the last 10 fights, the second highest among lightweight masters and rivals. This is exactly twice as much as the average for the division (11.9 per round) and 10 more blows than a farmer (13.8 per round).

29.2 The percentage of power blows landed to Zepedy through his opponents (11.4 per round).

34.2: Percentage of blows landed by Zepeda. The farmer lands 38.9%. The average compubox for lightweight division is 29.5%.

19: The balls for the round landed through the farmer in their first fight against Zeda, almost three more than his average 16.4. From among these blows, 13.8 per round.

79: Power hit the body through Zepeda in the first fight with a farmer, who landed only with 42 mounts.

3: The total stabs of the body landed by the farmer against Zepeda during their first fight. It is less than half of its average 6.4 landed on the round.

7: The difference in blows landed in the round in the first fight, in favor of Zepeda. Zepeda also stranded 19 blows (78-59).

1: Knocking down in the first fight. Farmer dropped Zeda on the left bank in the fourth round.

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Austin Williams Challenges Vito Mielnickis Contender Claims in High-Stakes Showdown

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"Austin Williams Challenges Vito Mielnicki's Contender Claims in High-Stakes Showdown"
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Gardzielik was dropped and lost every round on all three scorecards. Nmomah offered limited resistance before being stopped in the ninth. Huerta went the distance but lost 100-90, 100-90, and 99-91. Those victories showed Mielnicki can dominate carefully selected opposition. They did not demonstrate that he is prepared for a championship fight.

Top Rank moved Mielnicki methodically by matching him against fighters with attractive records but little recognition in the United States. The approach helped him collect regional belts and climb the sanctioning-body rankings without facing anyone near the top of the middleweight class.

The more revealing performances came against Khalil El Harraz and Connor Coyle. Mielnicki edged El Harraz by majority decision and then struggled to a majority draw with Coyle. The New York State Athletic Commission later changed the Coyle result to a no-contest after he tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs, but the ruling did not erase what happened during those 10 rounds.

Mielnicki believes beating Williams would answer criticism of rankings that place him No. 3 with the WBO, No. 7 with the WBA and WBC, and No. 9 with the IBF.

“I feel like having a name like him on my resume will silence a lotta that,” Mielnicki told Keith Idec of The Ring.

Williams (20-2, 13 KOs) is a considerable upgrade. The physically strong southpaw applies pressure and can make Mielnicki fight while moving backward, an area that the trio was not equipped to test. Mielnicki must show that his footwork and inside game hold up when an opponent closes the distance and refuses to remain at his preferred pace.

Still, beating Williams would not establish Mielnicki as one of the best at 160. Hamzah Sheeraz stopped Williams, and Carlos Adames defeated him decisively over 12 rounds. Williams occupies the middle of the first tier: capable enough to expose a protected contender, but well below the elite.

That makes him an appropriate screening test. A Mielnicki loss in his New Jersey backyard would make his lofty rankings difficult to defend. A convincing win would earn him the opportunity to face the leading middleweights, not prove he is ready to beat them.

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Canelo Set to Defeat Mbilli Before Epic Showdown with KO Artist in Historic Boxing Match

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"Canelo Set to Defeat Mbilli Before Epic Showdown with KO Artist in Historic Boxing Match"

Canelo Alvarez is set to challenge for the WBC super-middleweight world title next month, looking to re-establish himself as the man to beat in the 168lb division. World-renowned trainer Robert Garcia has laid out his prediction for the fight, as well as what the future might hold.

Canelo became the first undisputed world champion in the history of the super-middleweight division when he finished off an eleven-month run of collecting belts by knocking out Caleb Plant back in 2021. He defended his four belts on five occasions.

Alvarez then dropped the IBF super-middleweight crown but soon trumped William Scull to win it back and become a two-time undisputed ruler, before losing all four of his belts to Terence Crawford in an iconic showdown 12 months ago. Crawford retired shortly afterwards, scattering the titles.

Since then, Canelo has been sidelined due to an elbow injurywhilst Mbilli has been elevated from interim status to full WBC world champion, with former opponent Lester Martinez taking his place as Interim titleholder.

Robert Garcia – who trains the likes of Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez and Vergil Ortiz Jr – recently told YSM Sports Media that he believes Canelo will win his title back against Mbilli, before outlining his hopes to see Canelo take on Guatemala’s Martinez at the near 90,000-capacity Estadio Azteca.

“I think that Canelo does have enough to beat Mbilli and then Canelo versus Lester [Martinez] would be one of the biggest fights in history, it is two countries against each other, two countries that are going to celebrate a big event in a huge soccer stadium – that would be huge.

“From what I understand, they want Canelo at Estadio Azteca. Imagine him versus Lester at the Estadio Azteca, it would be unbelievable.”

The Estadio Azteca has twice staged boxing events, first hosting Vicente Saldivar’s unified featherweight title defence against Howard Winstone in 1965 and then Julio Cesar Chavez’s famous victory over Greg Haugen in front of a record-breaking 132,247 spectators in 1993.

Martinez, following his latest stoppage win over Luka Plantic, made no secret of his desire to face the winner of Mbilli-Canelo.

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Lester Martinez Awaits Canelo Mbilli Showdown: Who Will Emerge Victorious?

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"Lester Martinez Awaits Canelo Mbilli Showdown: Who Will Emerge Victorious?"
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Martinez was much more effective and landed the harder punches. Lester had the support of the Guatemalan people with a healthy attendance of 6,848 at the USC Galen Center. The interim WBC super middleweight champion is the only boxing champion of any kind for Guatemala; Martinez is held in high esteem, receiving the full support of his country. After the victory, he celebrated at Lafayette Park at the Festival Chapin with his fellow countrymen.

ProBox promoter Garry Jonas stated at the post-fight press conference they’re exploring the options of holding a Lester Martinez fight at a soccer stadium somewhere in Guatemala, hopefully for January of 2027. The energy and crowd at the Galen Center was electrifying as the crowd would erupt in cheers every time Lester would land a big punch.

Holding an event in Guatemala would definitely draw a crowd. Lester is becoming a bigger star with every fight, and if he’s able to secure a fight with the winner of the Canelo Alvarez-Christian Mbilli fight, he would only become that much bigger. Trainer Esau Dieguez said of the fight, “The truth is we would like to face the winner, but because of name recognition and what it would bring, we would like to fight Canelo. Being that we already fought Mbilli, but I expect Canelo to win. I think Canelo will win, I hope we can make the fight. I know the WBC may beat around the bush, but our hope is Lester will fight for the full world title.”

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It was the fight against Mbilli that raised Lester’s profile and introduced him to the world. Although it was ruled a draw, there are many who believe Martinez should have been awarded the decision. Lester stood toe-to-toe with the power puncher, exchanging punch for punch with him. Martinez outlanded Mbilli 412 to 273 in total punches, outlanding him in 9 of 12 rounds (Compubox).

He tried securing the rematch with Christian, but the fight never materialized. Expecting a tough fight against the Canelo-Mbilli winner, Lester said, “I think for now I will relax, but I know what is coming will be more difficult, and we will prepare for it.”

Knowing that he will have to perform at his absolute best against whomever the winner may be. Lester has proven he has the skills to compete at the championship level, and he has the full support of an entire country with him in Guatemala; they want nothing more than to have their first full world champion.

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