At yesterday’s weigh-in, Conor was a full pound under, weighing 146 pounds at the commission weigh-in, which began at 9 in the morning.
Benn spoke to the media this week and talked about the difficulties of making weight: “It does feel like I’ve been through the pits of hell. It’s one of those pits of hell, and I had a fight with Satan, and God brought me back to life.”
Such a difficult weight cut can affect Conor’s performance in the ring. He may be slower, not as strong, and may run out of gas in the later rounds. Benn has seen difficult weight cuts firsthand, having fought a visibly depleted Chris Eubank Jr. in their rematch last November. Conor could suffer a similar fate against Ryan, who promises not to relent and go for blood.
“Even if he makes the weight, your brain can’t rehydrate fast enough. Them punches are going to do some real damage, and I heard his dad talk like he’s [Conor] going to knock me out. Bet you won’t, and we can bet whatever you want. Your son ain’t going to knock me out. He couldn’t even knock out Regis.”
The match against Regis Prograis was a match fought at 150 pounds, and many criticized Benn for not being more dominant against an undersized boxer who had to come up to fight at the catchweight.
In that match, Conor outlanded Regis 176 to 108 in total punches landed, stating he chose to be more technical in that match. The average landing percentage of power punches of Benn’s last seven opponents is 36.1 percent (Compubox). Increasing the probability that Garcia will land a left hook or as he demonstrated in his championship fight against Mario Barrios, a right hook instead.
Garcia is the faster, younger, and, with the weight cut, the stronger fighter. How can a fighter like Benn, with a limited amateur background and short professional experience, compete against a skillful boxer like Ryan?
The two boxers Garcia lost to were Gervonta Davis and Rolando Romero, two fighters with real power behind their punches that made Ryan hesitant to engage. He did not want to trade fire with fire because of the power behind their punches. At welterweight and after a weight cut like this, Benn may not have sufficient power to deter Ryan from engaging.
In terms of overall boxing skill, Ryan holds the edge given his level of amateur experience over Conor. If he is able to land with precision and systematically break Benn down, Garcia will control the match and may potentially end it in the mid-to-late rounds by attacking the body.
Ryan has to go where Conor is weak, and that will be his body. Garcia can slow him down and make him break quicker by attacking the body from the get-go. Ryan already expects Conor to apply the pressure early, and if done strategically, he can wear him down by making him miss and land perfectly timed counters.
Garcia has been given the grand stage of boxing by headlining on Mexican Independence weekend; he must now go out and perform to expectations and defeat Benn.