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Chances and plants for Canelo vs. Crawford

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Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford Odds Shift in Favor of Underdog Ahead of Netflix Super Fight


For Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford SUPERFIGHT of September 13, 2025. Here is a comparison of opportunities and props of props from three mainstream bookmakers – Draftings, Betmgm and Caesars. The chances are approximate and may change.

Moneyline opportunities

  • Draftkings: Canelo -195, Crawford +155
  • Betmgm: Canelo -188, Crawford +160
  • Caesars: Canelo -190, Crawford +150
  • Best Value: Draftkings for Canelo (-195), Betmgm for Crawford (+160)

Propysite plants

The fight is coming

  • Yes: ~ -340 to -390
  • No: ~+265

Total rounds

  • Over 10.5: ~ -390
  • Below 10.5: ~+265

Victory method

  • Canelo by decision: ~ +105 to +115
  • Canelo by KO/TKO: ~ +330 to +360
  • Crawford by decision: ~+225
  • Crawford via KO/TKO: ~ +800 to +850

Specific round betting

  • Canelo in rounds 7-12: ~ +500 to +550
  • Crawford in rounds 7-12: ~ +1200 to +1250

Propody

  • Herring in rounds 1-4: ~ +1500 to +1600
  • Complete knocking below 1.5: ~ -3800 to -4000

Type of decision

  • Most of the decision: ~ +750 to +800
  • Decision divided: ~ +380 to +400

To draw

  • The fight ends with the draw: ~ +1550 to +1600

Observations

  • Canelo favored: decision (+105 to +115) is the most likely result; KO (+330 to +360) is possible, but less likely.
  • Crawford path: decision (+225) is safer; KO (+800 to +850) is a long shot due to Canelo’s durability.
  • The duration of the fight: it is expected to pass 12 rounds (over 10.5 aged -390), reflecting the defense skills of both fighters.
  • Notes: The chances of Betmgm and Caesars props are partly deduced from design trends and fanduel due to narrow data. Check stimuli closer to Fight Night for updated opportunities and additional props.

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Carl Froch Claims One Welterweight Champion Could Have Stopped Terence Crawfords Unbeaten Streak

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"Carl Froch Claims One Welterweight Champion Could Have Stopped Terence Crawford's Unbeaten Streak"

Terence Crawford faced and defeated 42 different opponents during a 17-year career, but super-middleweight icon Carl Froch believes that there is one welterweight who would have put an end to Crawford’s unbeaten streak if they were to meet in their primes.

Crawford became the first post-war boxer to claim the undisputed title in three separate weight divisions last September; a run which began as a super-lightweight in 2015 by defeating Thomas Dulorme, then unifying against Viktor Postol before halting Julius Indongo in an undisputed title showdown.

‘Bud’ then moved on to the welterweight scene and knocked out Jeff Horn to capture the WBO world title on his 147lb debut, making five defences of the title before colliding with fierce rival and three-belt unified titleholder, Errol Spence Jr, in 2023.

In a unforgettable fight, Crawford brutally beat Spence down in an authoritative ninth-round stoppage win to capture the undisputed welterweight throne. Talk then turned to an unprecedented three-weight move up to super-middleweight to take on Canelo Alvarez.

After stopping off at super-welterweight to dethrone Israil Madrimov on his way up, Crawford debuted at super-middleweight in a challenge for Canelo’s undisputed crown and outboxed the Mexican superstar in an iconic win last year, hanging up the gloves three months later.

Despite those legendary achievements, Froch picked Floyd Mayweather Jr to come out on top in a potential fantasy fight against the Omaha southpaw, in an episode of ‘Froch on Fighting’.

Mayweather’s achievements speak for themselves, retiring with a perfect 50-0 unbeaten record after claiming world honours in five divisions, with his most impressive reign coming at 147lbs, where he defeated the likes of Manny Pacquiao and Shane Mosley.

Mayweather has been rumoured to make a comeback, but while there would be huge finances that would be on offer, Crawford has revealed that he would have no interest in ending his retirement for a bout with ‘TBE’, believing that the 49-year-old is ‘old’ and ‘done’.

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Conor Benn Reveals His Pick: Oscar De La Hoya vs Terence Crawford Showdown in Boxing History

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Conor Benn Reveals His Pick: Oscar De La Hoya vs Terence Crawford Showdown in Boxing History

Terence Crawford has been hailed by many as the best fighter of this generation following his retirement, and now WBC welterweight title hopeful Conor Benn has shared how he thinks ‘Bud’ would have fared against six-division world champion Oscar De La Hoya.

Crawford became boxing’s sixth five-division world champion with an iconic win over Canelo Alvarez back in September; joining Thomas Hearns, Sugar Ray Leonard, De La Hoya, Floyd Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao in that elite and exclusive club reserved only for legends of the sport.

Of that group, only De La Hoya and Pacquiao have gone on to conquer a sixth division, with De La Hoya’s 2004 WBO middleweight world title win over Felix Sturm seeing the Californian become the first boxer to ever become a sextuple champion.

Crawford could have joined ‘’The Golden Boy’ and ‘Pac-Man’ in achieving that feat, having been offered a middleweight world title shot during the aftermath of his triumph over Canelo late last year – a proposal which later fell apart due to a failed doping test by Janibek Alimkhanuly.

Continuing the praise that the Omaha-born southpaw has received since announcing his retirement last December, Benn told Daily Mail Boxing that he would favour the undefeated star to get the better of De La Hoya, if they were to meet in their primes.

Benn also went on to predict that Crawford would retain his unbeaten streak against other greats of the game, picking him to come out on top against each of Mayweather, Julio Cesar Chavez, Pernell Whitaker and Roberto Duran.

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Robert Garcia Evaluates Terence Crawfords Odds Against Prime Pacquiao

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"Robert Garcia Evaluates Terence Crawford's Odds Against Prime Pacquiao"

Top trainer and former world champion Robert Garcia has considered the outcome of a fantasy showdown between Terence Crawford and Manny Pacquiao.

The two generational greats reportedly came close to squaring off in 2021, back when Crawford was the WBO welterweight champion and ‘Pac Man’ held the WBA title.

Their unification match never materialised, though, as Pacquiao was scheduled to face Errol Spence Jr before ‘The Truth’ pulled out with a torn retina.

Instead, the Filipino legend ended up losing his WBA title to Yordenis Ugas at a stage when, while still serviceable, he was quite clearly past his best.

Crawford, meanwhile, was hitting top form around this time, just a few fights away from producing arguably a career-best performance against Spence.

He did, of course, manage to stop his welterweight rival in nine rounds, before moving up to 168lbs and becoming a three-division undisputed champion by dethroning Canelo Alvarez last September.

Based on those two performances, coach Garcia has told ESNEWS that he would favour ‘Bud’ to defeat even a prime version of Pacquiao.

“The Crawford that beat Spence – and the Crawford that beat Canelo – would probably beat Manny.”

While Crawford’s prime almost certainly came during his run of eight stoppages at welterweight, it is harder to pinpoint when Pacquiao ultimately reached his peak.

In terms of his most destructive performance at world level, however, many will point towards his second-round finish over Ricky Hatton in 2009.

While facing the ‘Hitman’ at 140lbs, Pacquiao would cement himself as a formidable welterweight champion soon after, dethroning Miguel Cotto with a 12th-round stoppage for the WBO title.

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