“I think this fight comes down to how comfortable Zayas is on offense,” Edwards told Boxingscene. “If he calms down and tries to hurt Boots, I believe he will be stopped. If he keeps moving, I believe he can cover the distance.”
Edwards likely looks at Zayas’ recent performances against Abass Baraou and Jorge Garcia Perez and sees a fighter who has already begun to adopt a safety-first style when the going gets a little tricky. When he was under fire during these fights, he held on or moved.
These last two fights have shown that Zayas is willing to play it safe and sound to get the win. Edwards is pitting it against Boots, and a cautious approach only delays the inevitable.
Zayas is expected to rely on movement early on, using his feet and lateral movements to manage distance against a fighter whom Edwards described as capable of hitting shots his opponents haven’t experienced before. The challenge, according to Edwards, is what happens as the rounds wear on and the pace becomes harder to maintain.
“He can either decide to keep moving, go the distance, and achieve a moral victory like Hector Camacho,” Edwards said of Xander. “Or go out on your shield like Felix Trinidad.”
It appears that Edwards believes that style is exactly what leads to the “Camacho” result, which is a defeat in which Zayas survives but does not actually win the fight.
When Edwards mentions that Zayas moves and punches in sweat to cover the distance in order to achieve a “moral victory”, he is essentially saying that while style may keep Zayas from being knocked out, it is not enough to defeat Ennis. According to Edwards, moving and tightening are survival tactics, not winning tactics.
Moving and clenching is exhausting for a fighter. Edwards points out that as the rounds progress, the pace becomes increasingly complex to maintain. Eventually the legs get tired, the clinches get sloppy and Ennis finds an opportunity.
Edwards is basically setting up a “damned if you do, damned if you don’t” scenario. If Zayas uses the clinch/move style you saw last time, Edwards thinks he loses the decision. Edwards believes that if he tries to stand his ground and actually win, he will be stopped.