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Teofimo Lopez vs. Shakur Stevenson: Picks, Predictions and More

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On Saturday at Madison Square Garden in Fresh York, Teofimo Lopez Jr. will stand on the line for the WBO junior welterweight title against Shakur Stevenson.

Lopez (22-1, 13 KO), former unified lightweight champion, defends his belt for the fourth time with a unanimous decision over Josh Taylor in June 2023 at the Theater at MSG. Since then, Lopez, who enters the fight as a +250 underdog according to DraftKings Sportsbook, has recorded decision wins over Jamaine Ortiz and Steve Claggett in 2024, followed by a win over Arnold Barboza Jr. last May. Although Lopez hasn’t recorded a stop since his seventh-round knockout of Pedro Campa in August 2022, he has turned in some dominant performances, particularly against Taylor and Barboza.

Lopez’s combination of power, footwork and athleticism could be the key to his success, especially if he can string together distance and landing combinations against a challenging target.

Stevenson (24-0, 11 KO), the current WBC lightweight champion, moves up to 140 pounds for the first time in his life as he looks to become a four-division world champion after world titles at featherweight, junior lightweight and lightweight. Widely considered one of boxing’s elite defensive technicians, Stevenson (-330 favorite) has been criticized at times for his conservative style, but his in-ring control and evasion have made him nearly untouchable as a professional. He also showed offensive superiority in a dominant victory over William Zepeda last July.

The matchup presents a classic stylistic contrast: Can Lopez solve Stevenson’s defense and impose his attack from within? Or will Stevenson control the range with his jab and footwork, neutralizing Lopez’s power?

Hall of Fame commentator Al Bernstein, former welterweight champion Shawn Porter and former junior middleweight champion Raul Marquez discuss how the fight could unfold and give their picks for the winner.


Shawn Porter, former welterweight champion

Fit

Lopez has those values ​​in boxing that can’t be taught – athleticism, explosiveness and strength. Stevenson was born with the ability to time and dictate the distance and pace of a fight. While Lopez may have more things to do in the ring, he needs to figure out what he needs to do and fight arguably the most unhittable boxer in the game, and most importantly, when to do it. It’s Stevenson’s fight to lose and Lopez’s fight to win.

How does Lopez win?

His patience will be key. He must start the fight with patience and take his time to land a robust blow. The more he tries this, the easier it will be for Stevenson to time him and establish his rhythm. If he fights with rhythm, using basic jabs and feints to find moments for throw combinations, his patience can facilitate set the pace of the fight and opportunities will come.

How does Stevenson win?

Stevenson just has to be himself to win. He likes his space and controls the pace very well. He needs to force Lopez to attack him and fight on the front foot. An aggressive opponent benefits Stevenson. If he doesn’t fight like himself, he may lose this way. He fought aggressively against Zepeda, so he knows he can’t do that against Lopez because he is also a real offensive threat. But as long as he fights like he always does – as a great counter puncher – he can win.

Anticipating the fight

I said it was Stevenson’s fight to lose, and if it’s someone else’s fight to lose, that means he should probably win. It’s strenuous to pick a fight, but I will say Stevenson will win.


Raul Marquez, former American Olympian and junior middleweight champion, boxing analyst

Breaking the fight

I’m glad this fight will happen when it’s supposed to happen. I love the way Shakur fought in his last fight [William] Zepeda. We didn’t see him in his usual defensive mode. Coming forward, trading with Zepeda, he was very offensive and it was fun. Teofimo is one of those guys for whom the most crucial thing is how he wakes up on a given day. When Teofimo is on, he is a great and talented fighter. He is a student of the game. He is very confident, explosive and has great footwork. Shakur is a very wise fighter. He may not have the power of Lopez, but his ring intelligence and speed definitely make up for it.

This is boxing at the highest level. I think after three or four rounds Teofimo should take control. I really think it’s stronger and more powerful. But can he do it with Shakur? I don’t know.

How does Stevenson win?

Shakur has to box with jabs, straight shots to the center, and turning him around all the time. He must circle around him, keep his foot in the middle of the ring, stay away from the ropes and corners. He also has to strike in series and apply combinations. Grab it, hold it, lean on it, go back outside, jab it, double it and go to work. The key for him is to stay focused, composed and in the box.

How does Lopez win?

There will be three or four rounds of trying to understand each other, but sooner or later he will have to attack. When it’s on, it’s very elusive, comfortable, loose, and a lot of fun to be in there. When he does this, he is amazing and strenuous to beat. The key is to attack from all sides with combos, always pushing forward.

Anticipating the fight

I think Shakur should win, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Teofimo won. I go with Teofimo, nervous.


Al Bernstein, boxing commentator and member of the International Boxing Hall of Fame

Fit

This is intriguing because Stevenson is a very good boxer and a decent puncher, and Lopez is also a good striking boxer. So these two in some ways, even though they’re lefty and righty, have a somewhat similar skill set. Although I think Stevenson is a cleaner boxer than Lopez. The gigantic question is: which Lopez will show up?

In terms of consistency, Stevenson would have the advantage, even though he had a few performances that people weren’t ecstatic with. But the other thing about this fight is that we don’t know if any of these fighters will come out a little out of character. Will we see Stevenson be more aggressive than he has been at times? I thought against it [William] Zepeda [in July]showed the outbreak of a major offensive. Or will Lopez take a more measured approach than we expect? People are always trying to put pressure on Stevenson because he is a pristine boxer – will Lopez, who has boxing skills, change his game? These are questions we can ask ourselves.

How does Lopez win?

It’s crucial for Lopez to give his all. And when he gives it his all, he is a very good fighter.

I think at his best he is the pure definition of a boxer-puncher, but maybe with an emphasis on punching. He has power and knocks people down. I think that’s what he’s going to need in this fight. He will want to be aggressive; you have to do this and he’s going to have to turn up the volume a little bit. I think Lopez is going to have to make sure he cuts his hands in this fight and that alone could facilitate him win rounds. There have been fights in the past where he has had a bit of a lull in his striking range, but he can’t let that happen.

If he stays busy, concentrates on both the body and head, and manages to cut through the ring – which he will have to do without chasing Stevenson – he has a chance to win.

How does Stevenson win?

I think he’s winning the way we always feel, winning fights by having really good boxing skills while also making sure he’s offensive enough to win rounds. Shakur better do enough offensively to secure rounds if the fight goes the distance, which could very likely be the case.

Anticipating the fight

The problem with betting against Stevenson is that Lopez loses and that Stevenson wins most of the rounds in his fights. And so you feel like you can control it all. Now it is unknown whether he will be able to control a fight in this weight class and whether he will be able to control Lopez. But I guess I’d give a slight nod to Stevenson, but I think it’s a pick ’em fight.

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Dana White Rejects November 28 Date for Shakur vs. Haney Fight

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"Dana White Rejects November 28 Date for Shakur vs. Haney Fight"

Dana White quickly shut down rumors about Shakur Stevenson meeting Devin Haney on November 28 in Atlanta. Anyone expecting an immediate fight reveal took a hit after White addressed the situation following the Contender Series. When reporters pressed him on the proposed Thanksgiving weekend date, he gave them very little to work with.

“If it was, I would have announced it,” White stated.

He declined to offer negotiation details, nor did he float an alternate calendar slot. That curt statement keeps November 28 unverified. It does not kill the pairing entirely, but it proves the business side remains unresolved.

Social media bargaining created the illusion that promotional machinery was already rolling. Both boxers publicly settled on 145 pounds on X, leading casual observers to believe the hard part had passed. Settling on an informal weight limit in a comment section does not trigger an official press tour. Online back-and-forth gives followers plenty to debate, yet neither fighter has booked travel, hired sparring partners, or officially launched camp.

The real snag centers directly on purse demands. Ring insider Mike Coppinger pointed to the financial friction on social media, posting, “Money mostly but I believe it will get done.”

Optimism does not print tickets or satisfy broadcast partners. Bill Haney openly vented his irritation over the sudden silence from the Stevenson camp, posting, “Bro nem quiet as church mouse’s again…”

That frustration is easy to understand. Transparent negotiations inflate public expectations in a hurry. When one camp goes completely silent immediately after a public concession, momentum disappears. Talks look completely stalled from the outside, even if promoters continue working behind closed doors.

Nobody following the modern boxing business should feel surprised by this drag. Arguing online generates massive engagement metrics, yet back-and-forth posts cannot finalize multi-million-dollar agreements. Network commitments, venue guarantees, and revenue splits require formal paperwork that takes weeks to navigate.

White essentially yanked the conversation back to reality. Observers have a target weight, an opponent, a venue city. What everyone still lacks is a legally binding contract. Until both camps resolve guaranteed purses, this matchup exists strictly as an internet discussion rather than a genuine event.

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Boxing247.com is an independent boxing news publication covering the sport since 2001. It provides original reporting, fight analysis, schedules, results, and informed coverage of major fighters and events worldwide, backed by more than 25 years of professional boxing journalism.

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Saudi Boxing: The Urgent Need to Reduce Prize Money for Sustainable Growth

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"Saudi Boxing: The Urgent Need to Reduce Prize Money for Sustainable Growth"

Spencer Brown sees a noticeable shift coming to Saudi boxing. Tyson Fury’s manager expects the massive purses to shrink, with fewer mega cards happening each year even though the Kingdom plans to stick around. From his perspective, the current spending pace simply cannot hold, creating a whole new reality for fighters across the sport.

“I think that the money has to go down because nobody can keep paying that sort of money,” Brown told The Ariel Helwani Show.

He made sure to dismiss rumors that Saudi investment is drying up completely. Instead, he sees Riyadh scaling back the volume of blockbuster events.

He pointed to Fury’s December 11 meeting with Anthony Joshua in Cardiff, a deal he helped put together, calling it one of the final spectacles of its kind. Moving forward, he predicts fans will see just one or two events of that size annually. While speaking as a dealmaker rather than an official spokesperson for Riyadh Season, his perspective carries genuine weight.

“I think this is one of the last of the big fights we’re going to see. I think you might get one or two big fights a year in future,” Brown said about the Fury vs. Anthony Joshua clash.

The real trouble will be convincing boxers to accept smaller checks again. Once a fighter pockets Saudi riches, traditional offers funded by gate receipts or pay-per-view sales feel like an insult. A matchup can make all the sense in the world on paper, yet stall out completely if someone insists on another monster payday.

That dynamic could trigger prolonged layoffs. Fighters risk sitting around, holding out hope for an invitation to the rare marquee card. Veterans near the end of their careers do not have time to waste on the sidelines, but the temptation of holding out for life-changing money remains strong.

A market cool-down could ultimately force promoters to build fights around realistic budgets again. For that model to succeed, fighters who want to stay active will have to adjust their financial expectations accordingly.

Fighters who grew accustomed to eight-figure guarantees for low-demand, mismatched events are going to hit a wall of stubborn inactivity before reality sets in.

Human nature and boxing economics suggest the immediate reaction won’t be humility. It will be entitlement.

When a boxer makes $10 million to $20 million fighting an unheralded opponent in an atmosphere with minimal gate pressure, that number ceases to be a windfall in their mind. It becomes their baseline. Returning to a traditional promotional model where their guarantee is tied directly to pay-per-view buys and ticket sales in London, New York, or Las Vegas feels like a drastic demotion.

The fallout is likely to split fighters into distinct groups:

First come the holdouts. The biggest names with heavy bank accounts will sit on the sidelines, convinced that their manager or promoter simply isn’t trying hard enough, or that Riyadh will eventually circle back when a headline slot opens.

They will post training clips on social media, call out other stars, demand absurd splits, and reject viable market-rate offers. Some will sit out twelve to eighteen months before grasping that the sovereign wealth subsidy has actually contracted. For aging stars, this wait will quietly run out their athletic primes.

Second comes the rude awakening for mid-tier names. Fighters who received inflated purses simply to fill out stacked undercards will discover that traditional promoters have zero appetite to subsidize them. If a fighter does not shift tickets in their home market or drive subscriptions, domestic promoters cannot afford them at Saudi rates.

These fighters will face a blunt ultimatum: accept pay cuts of 60 to 75 percent, or retire. Those who need money to maintain luxury spending habits will swallow their pride, sign realistic contracts, and return to competitive, grinding fights where they actually have to take risks.

Ultimately, the market correction will be painful. Boxing spent years living in an artificial economy where risk and commercial return were completely divorced. Once the spigot tightens, the fighters who want to stay relevant will have no choice but to get back in the gym and fight each other on realistic budgets, while the ones chasing long-gone purses will simply wait themselves into irrelevance.

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BoxingNews24.com has delivered independent boxing coverage since 2007, including original news, fight analysis, schedules, and results. Our experienced boxing writers cover major fighters and events worldwide, with published content reviewed by editors for accuracy.

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Canelo Alvarez Reveals Top 5 Best Fighters in the World | Boxing News 2023

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Canelo Alvarez Reveals Top 5 Best Fighters in the World | Boxing News 2023

Having previously been considered as the pound-for-pound king, Canelo Alvarez is on a quest to prove that he remains amongst the elite, and the four-division world champion has revealed his top five active pound-for-pound fighters.

Many fight fans considered Canelo to be the pound-for-pound number one between 2019 and 2022, as he continued his long unbeaten streak since a 2013 loss to Floyd Mayweather and progressed through the weight divisions.

In November 2019, Alvarez dethroned WBO light-heavyweight world champion Sergey Kovalev to claim world honours in a fourth division, before moving back down to super-middleweight and capturing all four 168lb titles in an 11-month spell to become boxing’s first undisputed super-middleweight champion.

Canelo has since suffered defeats to both Dmitry Bivol and Terence Crawford and the 36-year-old now finds himself without a belt, but he is set for a world title challenge at the end of the month, when he heads to Saudi Arabia and attempts to dethrone Christian Mbilli.

Speaking to DAZN Boxingahead of that title bid, Canelo revealed his current top five boxers in the sport, noticeably opting not to include himself.

“My top five pound-for-pound fighters are [Oleksandr] Usyk, [Naoya] Inoue, Bivol, Shakur [Stevenson] and Gervonta [Davis].”

Canelo’s selections may come as no surprise, with Usyk and Inoue viewed as the top two fighters on most people’s pound-for-pound lists.

Bivol currently holds three of the four world titles at light heavyweight, making the next defence of those belts against Callum Smith in December, while Stevenson looks poised for a showdown with Devin Haney later this year.

As for Davis, he may be the surprise inclusion in Canelo’s list, with ‘Tank’ having not competed since March 2025 when he was held to a controversial draw with Lamont Roach.

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