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Sebastian Fundora vs. Keith Thurman: Picks, Predictions and More

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Sebastian Fundora will put the WBC junior middleweight title on the line against Keith Thurman on Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas (Prime Video PPV, 7:00 p.m. ET).

Fundora (23-1-1, 15 KO) won the belt with a split decision victory over Tim Tszyu in March 2024 and has since defended twice, including a seventh-round TKO in the rematch last July.

At 6 feet 5½ inches and with an 80-inch reach, Fundora presents a unique challenge to anyone in the division. While he has the tools to fight at a distance, the southpaw is equally adept at interior combat, where he uses his strength and body attack to wear down his opponents. He enters the fight as a -380 favorite, according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

Thurman (31-1, 23 KO), a former unified welterweight champion, has been largely inactive since a split decision loss to Manny Pacquiao in September 2019. He has had just two fights since then, most recently in March 2025 when he moved up to junior middleweight and defeated Brock Jarvis in three rounds – the only in-ring action he had seen in over four years.

Still, Thurman’s experience could make a difference. In his prime, he fought many of the best welterweights. He has always shown good footwork and will have to rely on his movement to avoid falling in front of the much taller Fundora. Thurman also has power in both hands, and his right hand could be a key punch in a fight against a distance champion.

Will Fundora apply his size, youth and relentless body attack to break down the veteran? Or can Thurman, a +280 underdog, apply his experience and power to catch Fundora and cause an upset?

Former champions Shawn Porter, Danny Garcia and Raul Marquez describe the fight and present their picks.


Shawn Porter, former welterweight champion

How does Thurman win?

I think there are many ways for Thurman to win. I’d like to see him apply his movement and then when he gets close, go to the body. Then turn, go around, close, or whatever else we need to do to prevent Fundora from taking any hits. I think this is a great way to break down Fundora and force him to give up his height, which is a weakness we’ve seen throughout most of his career until his last two fights. Thurman can box and move towards victory.

Thurman could win by knockout. It’s not necessarily the case that Brian Mendoza had a one-punch knockout over Fundora, although we know Thurman has that power. People always criticize if he had it at 147 and wonder if he had it at 154. Trust me, if he had it at 147, he would have more power at 154 and should probably fight at 160. Athleticism creates his strength, and that power can beat Fundora.

How does Fundora win?

I don’t think Fundora can afford to keep the fight outside and boxing all night long. Although he has longer arms and a taller frame, he is not proficient in using them. He must force the fight to be close quarters and respond defensively once he lets go of his hands. I think this is the only path to success for him. He needs to get in close and break Thurman down like he has done to other opponents. If he doesn’t break it, the fight will be up in the air. Ultimately, this is Fundora’s fight to lose.

Who wins?

I always support the B team, so I think I’ll beat Thurman by knockout.


Raul Marquez, former American Olympian and junior middleweight champion, boxing analyst

Duel

Thurman is 37 years aged. I remember fighting for the middleweight title against Arthur Abraham when I was 37 years aged. Abraham was a monster and I was not the same. I think Fundora is now a monster for Thurman. Thurman was also inactive. Yes, he has extensive experience fighting top fighters such as Manny Pacquiao, Danny Garcia, Shawn Porter, Robert Guerrero, Luis Collazo and Julio Diaz. But I don’t see him winning this fight. When you’re 37 years aged and you’re fighting a guy like Fundora, who I think has gotten better and is in great shape, I just don’t see Thurman having the firepower he had when he was younger – mostly due to inactivity.

How does Fundora win?

He just has to be himself, apply his height and reach for the advantage. He needs to control his range early, figure out Thurman and apply his jab. Get in there and make Thurman work, then break him down. Operate body shots and uppercuts while maintaining a rapid pace. He’s fighting an older guy who likes to fight at his own pace, so don’t let him do that. Fundora has a very good defense, so he will have to be prepared for things that Thurman can prepare due to his experience.

How does Thurman win?

Strike a blow, get close. And that’s something he can do because Fundora also likes to fight in close quarters. I know Thurman has been working on using his distance. Thurman is rapid, but I think Fundora is ready for it. Since the fight with Brian Mendoza, his condition has improved; he learned a lot from this loss. He is mature and very disciplined. Thurman can only win if Fundora makes a mistake and becomes haphazard.

Thurman is an in-and-out fighter. But he won’t have the legs to do it for 12 rounds with a fighter like Fundora attacking him. I think Thurman will keep him vigorous. At some point he’s going to have to stand there and fight shoulder to shoulder, and it won’t be his fight because he won’t have his legs there. The only thing he could do was to strike strenuous, using his experience and choosing his moments. Step inside and catch it from a different perspective. He could also catch it from a long distance, but it had to be a right punch – a right from above or a left hook. He has the power to drop it, but it’s the only way. It won’t beat Fundora.

Who wins?

Fundora by stoppage at the end of the round. I think the horn will stop it. I don’t think Thurman can survive, especially at his age. The deeper the fight, the more hard it will be for him.


Danny Garcia, former junior welterweight and welterweight champion

How does Fundora win?

Take advantage of his youth, apply sharp pressure and keep Thurman in the final punches. Fundora should try to break the inactive Thurman. If he does that, I can see him winning by TKO at the end.

How does Thurman win?

Take advantage of his experience. Operate quick feet, sharp and tight defense, frustrate Fundora and try to land powerful, looping punches. If he does that, he could score a late-round KO like Mendoza did against Fundora.

Who wins?

I don’t see this fight having the distance. Thurman by KO.

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Dana White Rejects November 28 Date for Shakur vs. Haney Fight

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"Dana White Rejects November 28 Date for Shakur vs. Haney Fight"

Dana White quickly shut down rumors about Shakur Stevenson meeting Devin Haney on November 28 in Atlanta. Anyone expecting an immediate fight reveal took a hit after White addressed the situation following the Contender Series. When reporters pressed him on the proposed Thanksgiving weekend date, he gave them very little to work with.

“If it was, I would have announced it,” White stated.

He declined to offer negotiation details, nor did he float an alternate calendar slot. That curt statement keeps November 28 unverified. It does not kill the pairing entirely, but it proves the business side remains unresolved.

Social media bargaining created the illusion that promotional machinery was already rolling. Both boxers publicly settled on 145 pounds on X, leading casual observers to believe the hard part had passed. Settling on an informal weight limit in a comment section does not trigger an official press tour. Online back-and-forth gives followers plenty to debate, yet neither fighter has booked travel, hired sparring partners, or officially launched camp.

The real snag centers directly on purse demands. Ring insider Mike Coppinger pointed to the financial friction on social media, posting, “Money mostly but I believe it will get done.”

Optimism does not print tickets or satisfy broadcast partners. Bill Haney openly vented his irritation over the sudden silence from the Stevenson camp, posting, “Bro nem quiet as church mouse’s again…”

That frustration is easy to understand. Transparent negotiations inflate public expectations in a hurry. When one camp goes completely silent immediately after a public concession, momentum disappears. Talks look completely stalled from the outside, even if promoters continue working behind closed doors.

Nobody following the modern boxing business should feel surprised by this drag. Arguing online generates massive engagement metrics, yet back-and-forth posts cannot finalize multi-million-dollar agreements. Network commitments, venue guarantees, and revenue splits require formal paperwork that takes weeks to navigate.

White essentially yanked the conversation back to reality. Observers have a target weight, an opponent, a venue city. What everyone still lacks is a legally binding contract. Until both camps resolve guaranteed purses, this matchup exists strictly as an internet discussion rather than a genuine event.

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Boxing247.com is an independent boxing news publication covering the sport since 2001. It provides original reporting, fight analysis, schedules, results, and informed coverage of major fighters and events worldwide, backed by more than 25 years of professional boxing journalism.

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Saudi Boxing: The Urgent Need to Reduce Prize Money for Sustainable Growth

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"Saudi Boxing: The Urgent Need to Reduce Prize Money for Sustainable Growth"

Spencer Brown sees a noticeable shift coming to Saudi boxing. Tyson Fury’s manager expects the massive purses to shrink, with fewer mega cards happening each year even though the Kingdom plans to stick around. From his perspective, the current spending pace simply cannot hold, creating a whole new reality for fighters across the sport.

“I think that the money has to go down because nobody can keep paying that sort of money,” Brown told The Ariel Helwani Show.

He made sure to dismiss rumors that Saudi investment is drying up completely. Instead, he sees Riyadh scaling back the volume of blockbuster events.

He pointed to Fury’s December 11 meeting with Anthony Joshua in Cardiff, a deal he helped put together, calling it one of the final spectacles of its kind. Moving forward, he predicts fans will see just one or two events of that size annually. While speaking as a dealmaker rather than an official spokesperson for Riyadh Season, his perspective carries genuine weight.

“I think this is one of the last of the big fights we’re going to see. I think you might get one or two big fights a year in future,” Brown said about the Fury vs. Anthony Joshua clash.

The real trouble will be convincing boxers to accept smaller checks again. Once a fighter pockets Saudi riches, traditional offers funded by gate receipts or pay-per-view sales feel like an insult. A matchup can make all the sense in the world on paper, yet stall out completely if someone insists on another monster payday.

That dynamic could trigger prolonged layoffs. Fighters risk sitting around, holding out hope for an invitation to the rare marquee card. Veterans near the end of their careers do not have time to waste on the sidelines, but the temptation of holding out for life-changing money remains strong.

A market cool-down could ultimately force promoters to build fights around realistic budgets again. For that model to succeed, fighters who want to stay active will have to adjust their financial expectations accordingly.

Fighters who grew accustomed to eight-figure guarantees for low-demand, mismatched events are going to hit a wall of stubborn inactivity before reality sets in.

Human nature and boxing economics suggest the immediate reaction won’t be humility. It will be entitlement.

When a boxer makes $10 million to $20 million fighting an unheralded opponent in an atmosphere with minimal gate pressure, that number ceases to be a windfall in their mind. It becomes their baseline. Returning to a traditional promotional model where their guarantee is tied directly to pay-per-view buys and ticket sales in London, New York, or Las Vegas feels like a drastic demotion.

The fallout is likely to split fighters into distinct groups:

First come the holdouts. The biggest names with heavy bank accounts will sit on the sidelines, convinced that their manager or promoter simply isn’t trying hard enough, or that Riyadh will eventually circle back when a headline slot opens.

They will post training clips on social media, call out other stars, demand absurd splits, and reject viable market-rate offers. Some will sit out twelve to eighteen months before grasping that the sovereign wealth subsidy has actually contracted. For aging stars, this wait will quietly run out their athletic primes.

Second comes the rude awakening for mid-tier names. Fighters who received inflated purses simply to fill out stacked undercards will discover that traditional promoters have zero appetite to subsidize them. If a fighter does not shift tickets in their home market or drive subscriptions, domestic promoters cannot afford them at Saudi rates.

These fighters will face a blunt ultimatum: accept pay cuts of 60 to 75 percent, or retire. Those who need money to maintain luxury spending habits will swallow their pride, sign realistic contracts, and return to competitive, grinding fights where they actually have to take risks.

Ultimately, the market correction will be painful. Boxing spent years living in an artificial economy where risk and commercial return were completely divorced. Once the spigot tightens, the fighters who want to stay relevant will have no choice but to get back in the gym and fight each other on realistic budgets, while the ones chasing long-gone purses will simply wait themselves into irrelevance.

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BoxingNews24.com has delivered independent boxing coverage since 2007, including original news, fight analysis, schedules, and results. Our experienced boxing writers cover major fighters and events worldwide, with published content reviewed by editors for accuracy.

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Canelo Alvarez Reveals Top 5 Best Fighters in the World | Boxing News 2023

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Canelo Alvarez Reveals Top 5 Best Fighters in the World | Boxing News 2023

Having previously been considered as the pound-for-pound king, Canelo Alvarez is on a quest to prove that he remains amongst the elite, and the four-division world champion has revealed his top five active pound-for-pound fighters.

Many fight fans considered Canelo to be the pound-for-pound number one between 2019 and 2022, as he continued his long unbeaten streak since a 2013 loss to Floyd Mayweather and progressed through the weight divisions.

In November 2019, Alvarez dethroned WBO light-heavyweight world champion Sergey Kovalev to claim world honours in a fourth division, before moving back down to super-middleweight and capturing all four 168lb titles in an 11-month spell to become boxing’s first undisputed super-middleweight champion.

Canelo has since suffered defeats to both Dmitry Bivol and Terence Crawford and the 36-year-old now finds himself without a belt, but he is set for a world title challenge at the end of the month, when he heads to Saudi Arabia and attempts to dethrone Christian Mbilli.

Speaking to DAZN Boxingahead of that title bid, Canelo revealed his current top five boxers in the sport, noticeably opting not to include himself.

“My top five pound-for-pound fighters are [Oleksandr] Usyk, [Naoya] Inoue, Bivol, Shakur [Stevenson] and Gervonta [Davis].”

Canelo’s selections may come as no surprise, with Usyk and Inoue viewed as the top two fighters on most people’s pound-for-pound lists.

Bivol currently holds three of the four world titles at light heavyweight, making the next defence of those belts against Callum Smith in December, while Stevenson looks poised for a showdown with Devin Haney later this year.

As for Davis, he may be the surprise inclusion in Canelo’s list, with ‘Tank’ having not competed since March 2025 when he was held to a controversial draw with Lamont Roach.

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