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Wilder vs Zhang prediction: Who will win the heavyweight battle in Riyad?

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Wilder vs Zhang prediction: Who will win the heavyweight battle in Riyad?

Deontay Wilder and Zhilei Zhang meet in the main event of Saturday’s Queensberry vs Matchroom 5v5 clash in Riyad.

It’s a fight that could be a brutal heavyweight fight, could be a brutal (the other way around) heavyweight fight, and there is no clear favorite.

So who wins?

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Scott Christ (23-4)

A year ago, I would never have guessed that we would witness such a major event headlined – albeit in the form of a replacement for a much better fight that was rejected – by “Joseph Parker’s Leftovers.”

I’m absolutely excited about the electrifying style battle between a man who doesn’t want to pull any punches and a man who has about half a night of work in the gas tank. Theoretically, Wilder’s right hand is still a devastating weapon. Theoretically, Zhang could hold his own and make the decision simply because Wilder has openly admitted that he’s already having trouble pulling the trigger and has never been the type of guy to try to win rounds.

Both can hit the shot. Maybe Wilder’s talk of the return of fire and the killer instinct isn’t just talk, as it almost always is. For the most part, I don’t know if this fight can be analyzed much beyond “if Wilder throws punches, he’ll probably win, and if he doesn’t, he probably won’t.” My pick is a true guess as to what we’ll get, even more than normal. Zhang UD-12

Will Esco (19-8)

This is a fight that could really go either way, as Wilder admits he’s struggled to pull the trigger lately, and Zhang actually has enough stamina to pose a real threat for the first half of the fight. If Zhang is going to get a win here, I suspect it will have to come sooner, because despite his lack of power, Wilder actually lands a punch behind schedule in the fight, and I don’t think Zhang will be able to either dodge or withstand the power after the midpoint.

I’m still torn because fighters struggling to throw punches is usually a telling sign of where they are in their career, and there is an obvious concern that Wilder will struggle in this regard again. That said, I’m still quite willing to go for the fitter player as I think Zhang will be a relatively open target for Wilder in the second half and I suspect Wilder won’t get hurt early on. Wilder by TKO-10

John Hansen (18-9)

Sorry Guillermo Rigondeaux: you can’t win a boxing match if you don’t throw punches. Power may be the last thing to go, but Deontay Wilder’s power won’t matter if he’s once again unable or unwilling to let go of his hands. And it doesn’t matter if Zhilei Zhang has a circumscribed fuel tank as long as he never has to burn that fuel to move or protect himself.

For years, the question about Wilder has been how great he could have been if he had added X or Y to his circumscribed arsenal rather than just relying on that nuclear bomb. Now, after Parker’s death, he speaks openly about his inability to pull the trigger when necessary. A glance at my record at the bottom of this competition is clear evidence that I often completely misread these situations, but these problems only trend in one direction as players age and I simply don’t see Wilder magically finding his way back a spark in a fight against a bigger, stronger opponent than the one who frostbitten his hands. Zhang UD-12

Patryk Stumberg (22-5)

While it’s weird that I’m saying this about a fight between one-punch knockout artists with circumscribed performance, I feel like cardio will be the deciding factor here. Wilder notoriously shows his power behind schedule, and while his pace isn’t there to tire out the average opponent, the same can be said for Joseph Parker and Zhang, who remain fired up despite landing less than 25 punches per round. I don’t see him solving this problem any time soon. Of course, any one of these punches is enough to knock a man down, but Wilder is extremely complex to get rid of. I still remember how he shrugged off an absolute attack from Luis Ortiz before taking him down.

While Zhang did show off his chin against Filip Hrgovic, I don’t think he can match Wilder’s right hand, especially with an empty gas tank.

This is all assuming Wilder lets his hands go, but I feel inclined to show more love to the guy who wouldn’t land multiple punches on Parker than to the one who physically couldn’t do it. Expect a long staring contest with some quality punches from Zhang before he succumbs once again to the age of 41 and almost 300 pounds, opening the door for Wilder to turn the lights off. Wilder KO-7

Quick choices!

Daniel Dubois vs. Filip Hrgovic

  • Scott: Hrgovic via TKO-10
  • You want: Hrgovic UD-12
  • John: Dubois via TKO-8
  • Patrick: Hrgovic UD-12

Raymond Ford vs. Nick Ball

  • Scott: TKO-11 ball
  • You want: Ford UD-12
  • John: SD-12 ball
  • Patrick: Ford UD-12

Hamzah Sheeraz vs. Austin “Ammo” Williams

  • Scott: Sheeraz UD-12
  • You want: Sheeraz UD-12
  • John: Williams KO-10
  • Patrick: Sheeraz TKO-4

Craig Richards vs. Willy Hutchinson

  • Scott: Hutchinson SD-12
  • You want: Richards UD-12
  • John: Richards UD-12
  • Patrick: Richards via TKO-9

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Analysis

Gustavo Lemos joins the top ranks

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Gustavo Lemos joins the top ranks

Argentine sluger Gustavo Lemos has signed a “long-term promotional contract” with Top Rank, who will promote him alongside OR Promotions in the future.

Lemos said: “When my promoters at OR Promotions told me they had started talks with Top Rank, I was grateful. The waiting and difficult work has paid off, so I will make the most of this opportunity. I’m finally entering the massive leagues, realizing a lifelong dream and getting closer to becoming a world champion. Being part of the best promotional company in the world motivates me to give my best every day in training. Thank you Top Rank for your trust. I’m looking forward to the future.”

Lemos (29-1, 19 KO)’s turbulent career saw him brutalize Lee Selby in an IBF lightweight eliminator, spend the next year on the bench, and lose his place in the queue after weighing in at eight pounds in a preseason fight. , and then outclassed Richardson Hitchins last month before committing one of the most outrageous robberies of 2024. He’s as fan-friendly as they come, so it’s good to see Top Rank catching on to him after this loss.

Bob Arum calls Lemos “a handful for any 135- or 140-pound fighter,” suggesting Lemos may split his time between those weight classes. He weighed 1.5 pounds under the super lightweight limit against Hitchins, so with proper preparation he is still capable of making 135 pounds.

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Analysis

The Jono Carroll vs. Albert Batyrgaziev fight will take place on July 12

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The Jono Carroll vs. Albert Batyrgaziev fight will take place on July 12

So remember earlier this year when the WBA officially named Jono Carroll the mandatory challenger to Lamont Raoch Jr’s super featherweight title, only to turn around and allow Roach to fight the hapless Feargal McCrory in a few weeks? It turns out they have changed the deal even further, as Carroll will now face Tokyo gold medalist Albert Batyrgaziev for the interim title on July 12 at the IBA Night of Champions in Serpukhov, Russia.

The event will likely be available to watch via them official live broadcast. It may or may not appear on their BoxRec pages, as was the case with Eduardo Nunez’s knockout of Shavkat Rakhimov.

Batyrgaziev (10-0, 7 KO), a 3-0 pro at the time, led the Olympic featherweight standings with notable victories over multiple medalist Lazaro Alvarez and future rising contenders Duke Ragan and Erdenebat Tsendbaatar. As a prospect, he had quite the task, defeating substantial names like Ricardo Nunez and Jezreel Corrales, along with two undefeated fighters in his last two fights.

Carroll (24-2-1, 7 KO) hasn’t seen any action since outclassing the faded Miguel Marriaga last June. He is 8-1 since a failed title shot against Tevin Farmer, highlighted by a stoppage win over Scott Quigg and a disheartening loss to the rather aged Maxim Hughes.

A solid crossroads fight in my book, a world more intriguing than the actual title fight a month earlier. However, the question is what will happen to Otar Eranosyan, as he was expected to be in immediate trouble after Roach faced Carroll.

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Analysis

Oleksandr Usyk’s rematch with Tyson Fury will take place in December

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Oleksandr Usyk's rematch with Tyson Fury will take place in December

Oleksandr Usyk and Tyson Fury will meet again, with Turki Alalshikh announcing that the heavyweights will face off in an anticipated rematch on Saturday, December 1. 21, from Saudi Arabia.

Usyk defeated Fury on May 18 in Riyad to become boxing’s first undisputed heavyweight champion in the four-belt era, unifying the WBC, WBA, IBF and WBO titles.

The fight received rave reviews not only for its importance and spectacle, but also for its action, meaning it’s quite the scarce rematch that audiences will want to see because there simply isn’t a better – or bigger – rematch in the heavyweight division .

Usyk (22-0, 14 KO) may or may not end up defending the undisputed crown in the fight, although if boxing’s most essential players – the money men, in this case the Saudi sponsors of the event – speak up, that will be a deal. Usyk does have mandatory challengers waiting in the wings, including Filip Hrgovic, who will face Daniel Dubois this Saturday in Riyad, and interim WBO titleholder Joseph Parker, but given that everyone involved is currently working with the Saudis on various events, one can assume that the wheels can be greased and Usyk vs Fury 2 will be an undisputed title rematch.

Fury (34-1-1, 24 KO) will want to bounce back from his first defeat in his career, and also achieve what he has not achieved yet, which is unquestionable.

The good news is that you’ve received early warning about any holiday travel plans you may have during this period. I have to tell the family that you won’t be arriving until the 22nd.

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