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Canelo Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga: What the Numbers Tell Us

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Canelo Alvarez will headline a Las Vegas boxing event for the 18th time when he faces Edgar Berlanga on Saturday night for the WBC, WBO and WBA super middleweight titles. The fight card at the T-Mobile Arena also includes Erislandy Lara defending his WBA middleweight title against Danny Garcia and a super middleweight bout between Caleb Plant and Trevor McCumby for the vacant WBA interim title.

Alvarez (61-2-2, 39 KOs) held titles in four divisions, including the lineal middleweight and super middleweight championships. Alvarez became the undisputed super middleweight champion by defeating Plant via 11th-round TKO in November 2021. He successfully defended the belt four times before the IBF stripped him of the belt in July when Alvarez chose to face Berlanga instead of IBF mandatory challenger William Scull.

“I just want to show everyone that I’m still the best,” Alvarez said during a news conference in Las Vegas on Wednesday. “I still love this sport. When I stop loving it, you’ll know. I love my routine and I love going to the gym every day.”

Berlanga (22-0, 17 KOs) has never fought for a world title. After starting his career 16-0 with all of his wins coming in the first round, Berlanga has just one knockout win in his last six.

Berlanga, a clear underdog (+900 according to ESPN BET), knows he has to do something special to beat Alvarez, one of the best fighters in the world.

“This is the chance of a lifetime,” Berlanga said. “It’s going to be a shootout this weekend. … I’m going to make everyone believe. It’s Puerto Rico versus Mexico and we’re going to fight on Saturday night.”

Let’s take a look at the title fight by the numbers, using data from ESPN Stats & Information and CompuBox.


-2000: According to ESPN BET, the odds are for Alvarez to win the fight.

1,582: The total number of seconds Berlanga fought in his first 16 fights as a professional, which all ended in the first round, averaged 98.9 seconds per fight. The combined record of all 16 opponents at the time of their fights was 175 wins, 67 losses, and 15 draws.

4: Alvarez’s successful title defenses as undisputed super middleweight champion. He is the only boxer to defend the undisputed title four times in the four-belt era (since 2007).

21: Alvarez’s world title wins; with a record of 21-2-1, he is the fourth Mexican-born fighter with 20 or more world title wins. With a win on Saturday, he would tie Marco Antonio Barrera for third place in world title wins among Mexicans (Julio Cesar Chavez, 31; Ricardo “Finito” Lopez, 25).

11: The undisputed men’s champions in the newfangled era of four belts. In addition to Alvarez, they are: Bernard Hopkins, Jermain Taylor, Terence Crawford, Oleksandr Usyk, Teofimo Lopez, Josh Taylor, George Kambosos Jr., Devin Haney, Jermell Charlo and Naoya Inoue.

14.7: Most punches landed per round by Alvarez out of 41 landed (35.9%, 5th most precise among champions and title contenders).

4.2: Alvarez landed 18.3 punches per round (23%).

10.5: Alvarez landed 22.7 power punches per round (46.3%), which ranked 6th among champions and title contenders.

6.6: The average number of power punches landed on Alvarez by his opponents in each round was 30.1%.

12.4: Berlanga landed 37.6 punches per round (33%).

7.6: Berlanga landed the most powerful punches in every round (17.8 of 42.7%).

5.8: Opponents landed the most power punches on Berlanga per round (29.9%).


  • Although Berlanga was born in Brooklyn, Recent York, his Puerto Rican heritage means this fight will join other notable Mexico-Puerto Rico title fights.

  • Compared to Alvarez’s championship experience, Berlanga will be fighting for a world title for the first time in his career. It will be a major step up in the competition for Berlanga, who enters the fight as the No. 5-ranked super middleweight, according to ESPN.

  • Canelo will be defending at least one super middleweight title for the eighth time. He is currently a -2,000 favorite (according to ESPN BET), which would give him the second-lowest odds to win a super middleweight title fight.


In Their Own Words – From Wednesday’s Final Press Conference in Las Vegas

Berlanga on what the fight with Alvarez means to him: “It all means that I’m in this position. I shouldn’t be here. I was doubted before I turned pro. But I knew I had to end up in this position.

“I can be the face of Puerto Rican boxing after Saturday night. I’ve wanted this for years and now it’s my turn to do it.”

Berlanga on his approach before the fight: “I’m a knockout artist. Every fighter wants a knockout. We know he’s a legend and we can’t just give it our all. We have to do it the right way. A sixth-round knockout, that’s what we’re going for. But we’re ready to go all 12 rounds if we have to.”

Alvarez on aiming for knockout: “It’s basic to say he’s going to knock me out, but it’s much harder to do it. Saturday night will be very complex for him, that’s for sure. I’ve prepared for a knockout. I love the feeling of a knockout and I’ll do everything in my power to do it.

“I always put 100 percent into my fights and training, no matter who I fight. It’s the same mentality in every fight. This is no exception. I had a great training camp and I’m ready.”

Alvarez on fighting on Mexican Independence Day weekend: “It’s an honor to fight on this day. Mexican Independence Day is very critical to us. It’s something special and I’m very proud to fight for the Mexican people.

“The fans mean everything to me and I appreciate them. They support me no matter what and I am grateful to everyone who has supported me throughout my career.”

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Andrew Moloney is confident that if given the chance, he would have beaten Phumelele Cafu and Kosei Tanaka

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Andrew Moloney (left) attacks Pedro Guevara – photo: Mikey Williams/Top Rank

Few people were more disappointed than Andrew Moloney when Kosei Tanaka lost his WBO super flyweight belt to Phumelele Cafu at the Ariake Arena in Tokyo, Japan on Monday night.

The 33-year-old Australian veteran was hoping to get a shot at beating Tanaka in the lucrative Japanese market.

Those dreams were dashed when South Africa’s Cafu delivered the performance of his life, knocking out Tanaka in the fifth round and finishing the fight strongly, beating the four-weight world champion by split decision.

“The plan was to target the WBO and really chase the Tanaka fight, but it all fell apart on Monday night,” Moloney (26-4-1NC, 16 KO) told The Ring. “I think the WBO is probably still the direction we go, but I’m not sure if they have a rematch clause or if Tanaka will take it. But after watching the fight yesterday, I would be really confident that I could fight one of these guys and win. We would like to follow this path.

“I would love to fight Tanaka in Japan as a four-division world champion. He’s definitely someone I’ve looked up to and wanted to fight for a long time.

“Last night was a little hard to watch. The way he performed, I’m more confident than ever that I have what it takes to beat Tanaka.

I assume there will be a rematch and I hope that Tanaka will regain the belt and I will be able to return to the ring and climb the rankings, and maybe this fight will still happen.

Tanaka entered Moloney’s orbit four years ago when he debuted at 115 pounds. Earlier this year, it looked like they were also on a collision course, with Moloney being number one in the WBO rankings. However, when an offer was made for the vacant IBF lightweight title fight between Vasily Lomachenko and George Kambosos Jr. in May in Perth, Western Australia, Moloney felt he couldn’t turn her down.

This decision ended in disaster. Moloney faced Carlos Cuadras, who withdrew from the fight with a ruptured Achilles tendon and was replaced by Pedro Guevara. Moloney entered the fight with a torn bicep and was largely reduced to boxing with one hand, which circumscribed his punching power.

Still, Moloney felt he did more than enough to win, and was shocked when Guevara was declared the winner by split decision. He was so disappointed that he announced immediately after the fight that he was leaving the ring, but a few days later he withdrew these comments.

It was a breakthrough moment in his career.

“Looking back, it’s a wonderful thing, but watching the Tanaka-Cafu fight made me think that maybe I would do a lot of things if I could turn back time a little bit,” Moloney explained.

“Before my last fight, I was number one in the WBO rankings and I rejected the option of waiting to fight Tanaka. But the opportunity arose to fight Guevara in Australia for the interim WBC title on a major card, and to be candid, I kind of regretted that the Tanaka fight was hanging in the balance, but ultimately we decided to stay busy and take the opportunity to fight in Australia.

“Also, the injury before the fight was another thing I thought about: will I undergo surgery, keep the top spot and wait for Tanaka, but I made the decision to go ahead with the fight with Guevara. Looking back now, maybe it wasn’t the smartest thing to do. And looking at the way Tanaka fought last night, I thought maybe I should have waited. I’m sure I could beat Tanaka and take the belt away from him.

“So I take some consolation, but unfortunately you can’t turn back time.”

It’s been a frustrating year for Moloney, but he’s still hitting the gym and his team is working to get him another fight. The window of opportunity to box again this year is closing quickly, but he still hopes to return to the ring in December, most likely in his native Australia.

“I really hope so,” he said. “That’s what I’ve been working on. I have been training strenuous at the gym for some time, quite a few months. I hope to return before the end of the year.

“At this stage it will probably be December. I’m trying to block something, but so far no luck. I’m still training away as if the fight was to take place in December, the team is currently working on it and I’m keeping my fingers crossed that we’ll be able to finish it.

“I just hope we can get out before the end of the year, get back into the winner’s circle and start climbing the rankings again.”

Moloney, who fought at bantamweight for the first three years of his professional career before dropping down to super flyweight, surprisingly, said he would even consider moving up to another weight class given the right opportunity.

“It’s a tough time in the super flyweight division,” said Moloney, the eighth challenger to The Ring’s 115-pound title. “There’s a lot going on and it’s always strenuous to plan which route to take because everything changes so quickly. I’d pick Bam Rodriguez to beat Guevara, then there’s talk of a rematch between Kazuto Ioka and Fernando Martinez on Up-to-date Year’s Eve. And then there’s talk of Bama, if they win, fighting the winner of that game in unification. The WBO seems to me the fastest way to win the title, so that’s the path we will follow.

“We have also rejected for some time the idea of ​​moving up to flyweight and getting crack there. There’s also some engaging scene going on there right now, but it’s still uncertain. I’d probably feel a little better at super flyweight, but we’ll have to wait and see what happens with Cafu and Tanaka, but like I said, I’d feel comfortable and confident against either of them, so hopefully he can make it it will happen sooner rather than later.”

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Doubts that fuel 19-year-old Benjamin Johnson

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Despite an impressive amateur resume, welterweight Benjamin Johnson of Springdale, Maryland, enters the professional ring with a shoulder injury.

Johnson will face Kevin Pantoja in a four-round fight at Rosecroft Raceway in Fort Washington, Maryland, promoted by his trainer Lamont Roach Snr’s NoXcuses Promotions. The fight will be broadcast on Saturday on ProBox TV.

Johnson, 1-0 (1 KO), spent just 2:23 in the ring in his professional debut, displaying the quick, aggressive hands that won him multiple national titles. However, 19-year-old Johnson feels an advantage, believing he is being overlooked by his NoXcuses Boxing Gym teammates.

Pantoja, 1-1, 27, has never stopped being a professional – Johnson aims to change that.

“People underestimate me,” Johnson said. “It’s been like that since I was an amateur.”

He added that this underestimation increases his motivation in the gym. Johnson is determined to prove his worth not only to himself, but also to those who doubt him or, worse, don’t recognize him. “I never felt like I was recognized as that guy, so I feel like I’m underappreciated,” Johnson said of his amateur and now professional career.

Johnson sees the fight as a key step in his career, compared to feared forward David Benavidez by some teammates and touted by others as one of the most ready-to-fight prospects in the country.

“I train as much as I can,” Johnson said. “It’s about making a statement. The way you win shows people what you’re capable of, and I’m ready to show my best.

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Benavidez Sr. wants Artur Beterbiev after David Morrell

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Image: Benavidez Sr. Wants Artur Beterbiev After David Morrell

David Benavidez’s father, Jose Benavidez Sr., says he wants undisputed lightweight heavyweight champion Artur Beterbiev if he can defeat “regular” WBA champion David Morrell in a Jan. 25 fight.

Jose Senior believes Beterbiew would be a good fight for Benavidez (29-0, 24 KO). He would also like his son to have Dmitry Bivol because it would give him a chance to beat someone who beat Canelo Alvarez in 2022.

Jose Sr. is still bitter that Canelo chose not to fight Benavidez all these years, and recently mentioned a $200 million asking price to fight him. If Bivol loses the rematch with Beterbiev, it is not worth fighting him.

Artur Beterbiev (21-0, 20 KO) will be the guy Benavidez fights if he defeats Bivol in a rematch in 2025. The second fight is still not confirmed, but it is likely.

Benavidez’s worst nightmare would be if Beterbiev lost his rematch with Bivol and then the two fighters met in a trilogy fight. Benavidez will have to wait until the third fight between these fighters takes place before he can claim the belts.

“David’s next fight will be David Morrell. Everyone is very excited about it. We tried to make this fight for three years, but I think David Morrell needed a little more experience to show the world that he deserves this fight,” said Jose Benavidez Sr. Probox TV David Benavidez’s next fight with Cuban David Morrell will take place on January 25.

Of course, Team Benavidez hasn’t tried challenging to fight Morrell over the last three years because they’ve been the ones ignoring him. If they wanted a fight with Morrell, it would have happened a long time ago.

They waited until now, after Morrell’s unimpressive performance against Radivoje Kalajdzic on August 3 at BMO Stadium in Los Angeles, before deciding they wanted to fight him.

“David called him and said, ‘Hey, I want to do this fight. Let’s make it happen. It was done right away. I’m very excited to fight a newborn talent, a sturdy fighter, and I think it’s going to be a tough fight,” said Jose Senior on how the fight with Morrell ultimately came about.

I hope we get a chance to fight Beterbiev. He won only on Saturday. Hopefully we can achieve that, but right now our focus is on David Morrell. We have to look impressive to get to the next level,” Benavidez Sr. said.

If Benavidez loses to Morrell, Jose Sr. will have to decide which direction to take his son. Will he move it back to 168 pounds or stay at 175, hoping to win one of the belts after Beterbiev’s vacation?

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